Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction & betting tips – 03/01/2025

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La Liga - Regular Season - 12

3rd Jan 25, 20:00
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia

WLDDL
1 : 2

HT: 1 - 0

Real Madrid

WWWWD
27' Hugo Duro
85' L. Modrić (J. Bellingham)
90+6' J. Bellingham

Referee: César Soto

Who will win?

Valencia Valencia
0%
X
0%
Real Madrid Real Madrid
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Valencia and Real Madrid is set for January 3, 2025 at 8:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain.

  • The probability of winning for Valencia is 15%. The probability of a draw between Valencia and Real Madrid is 25%. The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 60%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 72% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 28% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 71% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 29%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on March 2, 2024, where Valencia and Real Madrid drew with a score of 2-2
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Valencia has emerged victorious 1 time(s), Real Madrid has claimed 2 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Valencia has averaged 1 goals per game, while Real Madrid has netted an average of 2 goals.
  • In the current La Liga standings, Valencia occupies the 19th spot, while Real Madrid sits in 2nd place.
  • Valencia's performance in the La Liga this season shows 2 victories, 9 defeats, and 6 draws. They've maintained an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match.
  • Real Madrid has recorded 12 wins, 2 losses, and 4 draws in the La Liga this season. Their offensive output stands at 2.3 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1 goals.
  • Examining Valencia's last five outings, they have won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
  • Real Madrid's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 4 times, lost 0 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 3.2 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.
  • Kylian Mbappé stands out as Real Madrid's most prolific scorer, having notched up 10 goals in the current campaign.
  • Valencia will be without the services of: T. Correia (Knee Injury), M. Diakhaby (Knee Injury), J. Gaya (Muscle Injury), G. Mamardashvili (Leg Injury), R. Mir (Muscle Injury), Pepelu (Yellow Cards), F. Perez (Hamstring Injury)
  • Real Madrid faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: D. Alaba (Knee Injury), D. Carvajal (Knee Injury), E. Militao (Knee Injury)

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Odds

Home7.25
Draw4.80
Away1.41
Home6.00
Draw2.40
Away1.87
Home5.75
Draw2.95
Away1.65
Home/Draw2.85
Home/Away1.18
Draw/Away1.10
Home/Draw1.82
Home/Away1.49
Draw/Away1.11
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.513.501.02
1.54.501.18
2.52.301.55
3.51.522.37
4.51.214.00
5.51.087.50
6.51.0214.50
Over 1.52.25
Under 1.51.55
Over 2.55.25
Under 2.51.14
Over 3.513.50
Under 3.51.02
Over 0.51.29
Under 0.53.30
Over 4.534.00
Over 1.51.75
Under 1.51.93
Over 2.53.30
Under 2.51.29
Over 3.57.25
Under 3.51.08
Over 0.51.16
Under 0.54.75
Home5.50
Away1.13
HandicapHomeAway
+0.752.751.45
+12.401.58
+1.251.981.83
+1.51.782.05
+1.751.582.40
Home +0.51.90
Away +0.51.85
Home/Draw21.00
Home/Away23.00
Draw/Away4.33
Draw/Draw8.00
Home/Home13.00
Draw/Home15.00
Away/Home67.00
Away/Draw21.00
Away/Away2.05
Yes5.75
No1.10
Yes2.15
No1.62
Yes1.78
No1.90
Yes4.20
No1.19
Yes3.10
No1.31
Yes15.00
No1.02
Yes2.50
No1.53
HandicapHomeDrawAway
-115.007.501.09
+12.903.652.00
+21.704.003.50
+31.255.757.00
Home -123.00
Away -11.11
Draw -15.75
Home +11.85
Draw +12.95
Away +14.20
Home +21.18
Draw +25.50
Away +211.00
ScoreOdds
0:014.50
0:18.00
0:27.50
0:39.75
0:415.50
1:018.50
1:19.25
1:28.25
1:310.50
1:417.00
2:034.00
2:119.50
2:216.50
2:320.00
2:431.00
3:071.00
3:146.00
3:241.00
3:346.00
3:461.00
4:0126.00
4:1101.00
4:291.00
4:3101.00
4:4126.00
1:08.50
2:031.00
2:131.00
3:0101.00
3:1101.00
3:2151.00
4:0251.00
4:1251.00
0:03.40
1:18.00
2:246.00
0:13.60
0:26.75
0:317.00
1:215.00
1:334.00
2:391.00
3:3201.00
0:446.00
1:481.00
2:4176.00
1:09.50
2:029.00
2:123.00
3:081.00
3:171.00
3:291.00
4:0201.00
4:1176.00
0:05.00
1:17.75
2:231.00
0:14.10
0:26.00
0:312.50
1:211.00
1:321.00
2:356.00
3:3126.00
0:429.00
1:446.00
2:4101.00
4:2201.00
3:4201.00
4:3276.00
Draw3.60
1st Half3.00
Home6.00
Draw2.40
Away1.87
Home3.40
Draw13.00
Away1.36
Home3.30
Draw19.00
Away1.38
Home26.00
Draw1.34
Away3.10
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.52.151.62
1.51.214.00
2.51.0312.00
3.5-36.00
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.56.501.10
1.52.601.44
2.51.552.30
3.51.194.33
4.51.069.00
Yes15.00
No1.02
Odd1.85
Even1.83
Odd2.00
Even1.70

Lineups

Valencia

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 13GS. Dimitrievski
  • 20DD. Foulquier
  • 15DCésar Tárrega
  • 3DCristhian Mosquera
  • 24DYarek GąsiorowskiSubstitution88'
  • 16MDiego LópezSubstitution67'
  • 8MJavi GuerraSubstitution68'
  • 5ME. Barrenechea
  • 22MLuis Rioja
  • 10FAndré AlmeidaSubstitution88'
  • 9FHugo DuroGoal

SUBSTITUTES

  • 7MSergi CanósSubstitution67'
  • 6DHugo GuillamónSubstitution68'
  • 21DJesús VázquezSubstitution88'
  • 17FDani GómezSubstitution88'
  • 32MMartín Tejón
  • 1GJaume Doménech
  • 2DM. Caufriez
  • 31DRubén Iranzo
  • 35GVicent Abril
  • 38DIker Córdoba
  • 30FGermán Valera
Coach IconCarlos CorberanHead Coach
Real Madrid

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GT. Courtois
  • 17DLucas Vázquez
  • 14DA. Tchouaméni
  • 22DA. Rüdiger
  • 23DF. MendySubstitution68'
  • 19MDani CeballosSubstitution80'
  • 8MF. Valverde
  • 11MRodrygoSubstitution68'
  • 5MJ. BellinghamAssistSubstitution90'Goal
  • 7MVinícius Júnior
  • 9FK. Mbappé

SUBSTITUTES

  • 6ME. CamavingaSubstitution68'
  • 21MBrahim DíazSubstitution68'
  • 10ML. ModrićSubstitution80'Goal
  • 35DRaúl AsencioSubstitution90'
  • 18DJesús Vallejo
  • 26GFran González
  • 13GA. Lunin
  • 15MA. Güler
  • 16FEndrick
  • 20DFran García
Coach IconC. AncelottiHead Coach

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Real Madrid 19 13 4 2 43 19 24 43
2 Atletico Madrid 18 12 5 1 33 12 21 41
3 Barcelona 19 12 2 5 51 22 29 38
4 Athletic Club 19 10 6 3 29 17 12 36
5 Villarreal 18 8 6 4 34 30 4 30
6 Mallorca 19 9 3 7 19 21 -2 30
7 Real Sociedad 18 7 4 7 16 13 3 25
8 Girona 18 7 4 7 26 25 1 25
9 Real Betis 18 6 7 5 21 22 -1 25
10 Osasuna 18 6 7 5 23 27 -4 25
11 Celta Vigo 18 7 3 8 27 28 -1 24
12 Rayo Vallecano 18 5 7 6 20 21 -1 22
13 Las Palmas 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
14 Sevilla 18 6 4 8 20 27 -7 22
15 Leganes 18 4 6 8 17 28 -11 18
16 Alaves 18 4 5 9 21 30 -9 17
17 Getafe 18 3 7 8 11 15 -4 16
18 Espanyol 18 4 3 11 16 30 -14 15
19 Valencia 18 2 6 10 17 28 -11 12
20 Valladolid 18 3 3 12 12 37 -25 12
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Valencia has won 2 times, while Real Madrid has secured 6 victories. 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 12 for Valencia and 21 for Real Madrid.

2
2
6
ValenciaDrawsReal Madrid
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
70%
7/10 Matches
Valencia Clean Sheets
10%
1/10 Matches
Real Madrid Clean Sheets
20%
2/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

03 Jan 2025La Liga
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
02 Mar 2024La Liga
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
11 Nov 2023La Liga
Real Madrid5 - 1Valencia
21 May 2023La Liga
Valencia1 - 0Real Madrid
02 Feb 2023La Liga
Real Madrid2 - 0Valencia
11 Jan 2023Super Cup
Real Madrid1 - 1Valencia
08 Jan 2022La Liga
Real Madrid4 - 1Valencia
19 Sep 2021La Liga
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
14 Feb 2021La Liga
Real Madrid2 - 0Valencia
08 Nov 2020La Liga
Valencia4 - 1Real Madrid

Last matches: Valencia 1.40

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 4 (40%)D 2 (20%)L 4 (40%)
Copa del Rey07/01/2025
Eldense
0 - 2
Valencia
La Liga03/01/2025
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
La Liga22/12/2024
Valencia
2 - 2
Alaves
La Liga18/12/2024
Espanyol
1 - 1
Valencia
La Liga13/12/2024
Valladolid
1 - 0
Valencia
La Liga07/12/2024
Valencia
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Copa del Rey04/12/2024
Ejea
1 - 3
Valencia
La Liga29/11/2024
Mallorca
2 - 1
Valencia
Copa del Rey26/11/2024
Parla Escuela
0 - 1
Valencia
La Liga23/11/2024
Valencia
4 - 2
Real Betis

Last matches: Real Madrid 2.50

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 8 (80%)D 1 (10%)L 1 (10%)
Super Cup09/01/2025
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Mallorca
Copa del Rey06/01/2025
Deportiva Minera
0 - 5
Real Madrid
La Liga03/01/2025
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
La Liga22/12/2024
Real Madrid
4 - 2
Sevilla
FIFA Intercontinental Cup18/12/2024
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Pachuca
La Liga14/12/2024
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 3
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League10/12/2024
Atalanta
2 - 3
Real Madrid
La Liga07/12/2024
Girona
0 - 3
Real Madrid
La Liga04/12/2024
Athletic Club
2 - 1
Real Madrid
La Liga01/12/2024
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Getafe

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

ValenciaGames: 18
Real MadridGames: 19

Matches

48%
Ball Possession
61%
408.39
Total passes
608.79
323.67
Passes accurate
544.68
78%
Passes %
89%
12.06
Fouls
9.05
2.28
Yellow Cards
1.63
0.06
Red Cards
0.11
5.67
Corner Kicks
5.37
2.11
Offsides
2.26

Attack

9.56
Total Shots
15.21
3.17
Shots on Goal
6.21
0.96
expected_goals
1.83
3.94
Shots off Goal
4.74
6.17
Shots insidebox
10.05
3.39
Shots outsidebox
5.16
2.44
Blocked Shots
4.26
0.94
Goals Scored
2.26

Defense

1.94
Goalkeeper Saves
2
1.56
Goals Conceded
1
-0.17
goals_prevented
-0.26
3
Clean Sheets
8
12.06
Fouls
9.05

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 14%
Draw 24%
Away 62%
Valencia Real Madrid
6% Clean Sheet 15%
85% Over 0.5 Goals 94%
37% Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Both Teams to Score 73%
Most Likely Scoreline 1-2
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.