Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction & betting tips – 26/12/2024

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Premier League - Regular Season - 18

26th Dec 24, 15:00
St. James' Park

Newcastle

WWWWW
3 : 0

HT: 1 - 0

Aston Villa

WDLWL
2' A. Gordon (Joelinton)
59' A. Isak (J. Murphy)
90+1' Joelinton

Referee: A. Taylor

Who will win?

Newcastle Newcastle
0%
X
0%
Aston Villa Aston Villa
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Newcastle and Aston Villa is set for December 26, 2024 at 3:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne, England. A. Taylor has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Newcastle is 40%. The probability of a draw between Newcastle and Aston Villa is 24%. The probability of winning for Aston Villa is 35%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 70% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 30% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 60% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 40%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on January 30, 2024, where Aston Villa won against Newcastle with a score of 1-3
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Newcastle has emerged victorious 3 time(s), Aston Villa has claimed 1 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Newcastle has averaged 3 goals per game, while Aston Villa has netted an average of 1.6 goals.
  • In the current Premier League standings, Newcastle occupies the 8th spot, while Aston Villa sits in 6th place.
  • Newcastle's performance in the Premier League this season shows 7 victories, 5 defeats, and 5 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match.
  • Aston Villa has recorded 8 wins, 5 losses, and 4 draws in the Premier League this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.5 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.5 goals.
  • Examining Newcastle's last five outings, they have won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 3.2 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
  • Aston Villa's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 4 times, lost 1 times and drawn 0 times. They have scored an average of 2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Newcastle is A. Isak, who has found the net 10 times this season.
  • J. Durán stands out as Aston Villa's most prolific scorer, having notched up 7 goals in the current campaign.
  • Newcastle will be without the services of: E. Krafth (Shoulder Injury), J. Lascelles (Knee Injury), N. Pope (Knee Injury), C. Wilson (Thigh Injury), S. Botman (Injury)
  • Aston Villa faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: J. Ramsey (Hamstring Injury)

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Newcastle

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GM. Dúbravka
  • 2DK. TrippierSubstitution78'
  • 5DF. Schär
  • 33DD. Burn
  • 20DL. Hall
  • 39MBruno GuimarãesSubstitution90'
  • 8MS. Tonali
  • 7MJoelintonAssistGoal
  • 23FJ. MurphyAssistSubstitution78'
  • 14FA. IsakGoalSubstitution90'
  • 10FA. GordonGoalSubstitution78'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 13DM. TargettSubstitution78'
  • 28MJ. WillockSubstitution78'
  • 11MH. BarnesSubstitution78'
  • 18FW. OsulaSubstitution90'
  • 67ML. MileySubstitution90'
  • 24MM. Almirón
  • 36MS. Longstaff
  • 19GO. Vlachodimos
  • 25DL. Kelly
Coach IconE. HoweHead Coach
Aston Villa

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 23GE. Martínez
  • 2DM. CashSubstitution69'
  • 4DE. Konsa
  • 14DPau Torres
  • 12DL. Digne
  • 44MB. KamaraSubstitution69'
  • 24MA. Onana
  • 7MJ. McGinnSubstitution80'
  • 8MY. TielemansSubstitution46'
  • 27MM. RogersSubstitution69'
  • 9FJ. Durán

SUBSTITUTES

  • 11FO. WatkinsSubstitution46'
  • 6MR. BarkleySubstitution69'
  • 20DK. NedeljkovićSubstitution69'
  • 31ML. BaileySubstitution69'
  • 10ME. BuendíaSubstitution80'
  • 5DT. Mings
  • 25GR. Olsen
  • 19FJ. Philogene
  • 3DDiego Carlos
Coach IconUnai EmeryHead Coach

Standings data not available.

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Newcastle has won 5 times, while Aston Villa has secured 3 victories. 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 20 for Newcastle and 13 for Aston Villa.

5
2
3
NewcastleDrawsAston Villa
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
40%
4/10 Matches
Newcastle Clean Sheets
30%
3/10 Matches
Aston Villa Clean Sheets
30%
3/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

26 Dec 2024Premier League
Newcastle3 - 0Aston Villa
30 Jan 2024Premier League
Aston Villa1 - 3Newcastle
12 Aug 2023Premier League
Newcastle5 - 1Aston Villa
23 Jul 2023Premier League - Summer Series
Newcastle3 - 3Aston Villa
15 Apr 2023Premier League
Aston Villa3 - 0Newcastle
29 Oct 2022Premier League
Newcastle4 - 0Aston Villa
13 Feb 2022Premier League
Newcastle1 - 0Aston Villa
21 Aug 2021Premier League
Aston Villa2 - 0Newcastle
12 Mar 2021Premier League
Newcastle1 - 1Aston Villa
23 Jan 2021Premier League
Aston Villa2 - 0Newcastle

Last matches: Newcastle 2.30

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 7 (70%)D 2 (20%)L 1 (10%)
League Cup07/01/2025
Arsenal
0 - 2
Newcastle
Premier League04/01/2025
Tottenham
1 - 2
Newcastle
Premier League30/12/2024
Manchester United
0 - 2
Newcastle
Premier League26/12/2024
Newcastle
3 - 0
Aston Villa
Premier League21/12/2024
Ipswich
0 - 4
Newcastle
League Cup18/12/2024
Newcastle
3 - 1
Brentford
Premier League14/12/2024
Newcastle
4 - 0
Leicester
Premier League07/12/2024
Brentford
4 - 2
Newcastle
Premier League04/12/2024
Newcastle
3 - 3
Liverpool
Premier League30/11/2024
Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Newcastle

Last matches: Aston Villa 1.70

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 5 (50%)D 2 (20%)L 3 (30%)
Premier League04/01/2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leicester
Premier League30/12/2024
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton
Premier League26/12/2024
Newcastle
3 - 0
Aston Villa
Premier League21/12/2024
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester City
Premier League14/12/2024
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League10/12/2024
RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Aston Villa
Premier League07/12/2024
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton
Premier League04/12/2024
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Brentford
Premier League01/12/2024
Chelsea
3 - 0
Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League27/11/2024
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Juventus

Newcastle vs Unknown Team - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

NewcastleGames: 8
Unknown TeamGames: 0

Matches

45%
Ball Possession
0%
407.63
Total passes
0
330.38
Passes accurate
0
79%
Passes %
0%
12.25
Fouls
0
2.63
Yellow Cards
0
0.13
Red Cards
0
6.5
Corner Kicks
0
1.63
Offsides
0

Attack

10.25
Total Shots
0
2.75
Shots on Goal
0
1.31
expected_goals
0
3.75
Shots off Goal
0
8.13
Shots insidebox
0
2.13
Shots outsidebox
0
3.75
Blocked Shots
0
0.75
Goals Scored
0

Defense

2.38
Goalkeeper Saves
0
0.5
Goals Conceded
0
0
goals_prevented
0
4
Clean Sheets
0
12.25
Fouls
0

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 46%
Draw 20%
Away 34%
Newcastle Aston Villa
18% Clean Sheet 5%
95% Over 0.5 Goals 82%
54% Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams to Score 0%
Most Likely Scoreline 2-0
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.