Nacional vs FC Porto prediction & betting tips – 03/01/2025

Home » Match Predictions » Nacional vs FC Porto prediction & betting tips – 03/01/2025

Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 17

12th Jan 25, 15:30
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional

2 : 0

HT: 2 - 0

FC Porto

LLWWW
17' Dudu Teodora (Gustavo Garcia)
44' Zé Vitor (Bruno Costa)

Referee: Tiago Martins

Odds Standings H2H Form Stats Predictions

Who will win?

Nacional Nacional
0%
X
0%
FC Porto FC Porto
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Nacional and FC Porto is set for January 3, 2025 at 6:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is Estádio da Madeira in Ilha da Madeira, Portugal.

  • The probability of winning for Nacional is 13%. The probability of a draw between Nacional and FC Porto is 10%. The probability of winning for FC Porto is 77%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 68% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 32% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 62% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 38%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on July 13, 2024, where Nacional won against FC Porto with a score of 1-4
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Nacional has emerged victorious 0 time(s), FC Porto has claimed 5 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Nacional has averaged 0.6 goals per game, while FC Porto has netted an average of 3 goals.
  • In the current Primeira Liga standings, Nacional occupies the 15th spot, while FC Porto sits in 2nd place.
  • Nacional's performance in the Primeira Liga this season shows 3 victories, 9 defeats, and 4 draws. They've maintained an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match.
  • FC Porto has recorded 13 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draws in the Primeira Liga this season. Their offensive output stands at 2.5 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 0.6 goals.
  • Examining Nacional's last five outings, they have won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
  • FC Porto's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 4 times, lost 0 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per match and conceded 0.2 goals.
  • Samu stands out as FC Porto's most prolific scorer, having notched up 13 goals in the current campaign.

Nacional vs FC Porto - Odds

Home7.50
Draw4.75
Away1.38
Home6.50
Draw2.37
Away1.85
Home6.25
Draw2.75
Away1.66
Home/Draw2.90
Home/Away1.18
Draw/Away1.09
Home/Draw1.83
Home/Away1.51
Draw/Away1.10
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.511.001.03
1.53.601.25
2.51.931.75
3.51.362.87
4.51.135.25
5.51.0410.50
6.51.0021.00
Over 1.52.55
Under 1.51.46
Over 2.56.25
Under 2.51.10
Over 3.517.00
Under 3.51.01
Over 0.51.33
Under 0.53.00
Over 4.541.00
Over 1.51.98
Under 1.51.71
Over 2.54.10
Under 2.51.20
Over 3.59.75
Under 3.51.04
Over 0.51.21
Under 0.54.00
Home5.75
Away1.12
HandicapHomeAway
+0.752.701.45
+12.301.60
+1.251.901.87
+1.51.702.10
+1.751.522.50
+21.383.00
Home +0.51.90
Away +0.51.85
Home/Draw23.00
Home/Away26.00
Draw/Away4.00
Draw/Draw7.00
Home/Home15.00
Draw/Home17.00
Away/Home81.00
Away/Draw21.00
Away/Away2.05
Yes6.25
No1.10
Yes1.85
No1.83
Yes2.05
No1.65
Yes5.00
No1.14
Yes3.90
No1.22
Yes11.00
No1.03
Yes2.10
No1.63
HandicapHomeDrawAway
-117.007.501.08
+13.003.452.00
+21.703.903.65
+31.255.757.00
+41.098.5012.00
Home +11.85
Draw +12.85
Away +14.33
Home +21.18
Draw +25.50
Away +211.00
ScoreOdds
0:012.00
0:16.25
0:26.50
0:38.75
0:415.00
1:016.00
1:19.25
1:28.25
1:311.50
1:419.50
2:034.00
2:121.00
2:220.00
2:326.00
2:441.00
3:081.00
3:151.00
3:256.00
3:367.00
3:491.00
4:0151.00
4:1126.00
4:2126.00
4:3151.00
4:4176.00
1:08.75
2:036.00
2:136.00
3:0126.00
3:1126.00
3:2176.00
4:0301.00
4:1301.00
0:03.10
1:19.25
2:261.00
0:13.40
0:26.75
0:317.50
1:217.50
1:341.00
2:3101.00
3:3276.00
0:451.00
1:491.00
2:4201.00
1:09.50
2:034.00
2:131.00
3:0101.00
3:1101.00
3:2126.00
4:0226.00
4:1226.00
0:04.10
1:18.50
2:241.00
0:13.60
0:26.00
0:313.00
1:213.00
1:326.00
2:371.00
3:3176.00
0:434.00
1:461.00
2:4126.00
4:2276.00
3:4276.00
Draw3.40
1st Half2.90
Home6.50
Draw2.37
Away1.85
Home3.70
Draw11.00
Away1.35
Home3.60
Draw13.00
Away1.36
Home29.00
Draw1.34
Away3.10
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.51.851.83
1.51.145.25
2.51.0117.00
3.5-51.00
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.56.251.10
1.52.351.52
2.51.442.60
3.51.145.00
4.51.0410.00
Yes11.00
No1.03
Odd1.83
Even1.85
Odd2.00
Even1.71

Lineups

Nacional

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 37GLucas França
  • 22DGustavo GarciaAssist
  • 4DUlisses
  • 38DZé VitorGoal
  • 5DJosé Gomes
  • 88MMatheus DiasSubstitution90'
  • 27MD. Soumaré
  • 99MDudu TeodoraGoalSubstitution70'
  • 10MLuís EstevesSubstitution90'
  • 8MBruno CostaAssistSubstitution83'
  • 23FIsaacSubstitution69'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 89FDyego SousaSubstitution69'
  • 2DJoão AurélioSubstitution70'
  • 17MDaniel PenhaSubstitution83'
  • 34DLéo SantosSubstitution90'
  • 18MAndré SousaSubstitution90'
  • 15MC. Labidi
  • 1GRui Encarnação
  • 70FA. Appiah
  • 33DFrancisco Gonçalves
Coach IconTiago MargaridoHead Coach
FC Porto

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 99GDiogo Costa
  • 52DMartim FernandesSubstitution43'
  • 24DN. Pérez
  • 4DOtávio
  • 13DGaleno
  • 22MA. VarelaSubstitution15'
  • 6MS. Eustaquio
  • 20MAndré FrancoSubstitution46'
  • 86MRodrigo MoraSubstitution62'
  • 11MPepêSubstitution43'
  • 9FSamu Aghehowa

SUBSTITUTES

  • 15MVasco SousaSubstitution15'Substitution46'
  • 23DJoão MárioSubstitution43'
  • 19FD. NamasoSubstitution43'
  • 10MFábio VieiraSubstitution46'
  • 70FGonçalo BorgesSubstitution46'
  • 27FD. GülSubstitution62'
  • 3DTiago Djaló
  • 14GCláudio Ramos
  • 17MIván Jaime
  • 12DZ. Sanusi
  • 88MDomingos Andrade
  • 97DZé Pedro
Coach IconVítor BrunoHead Coach

Unknown Team vs FC Porto - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Sporting CP 17 13 2 2 48 14 34 41
2 FC Porto 17 13 1 3 40 11 29 40
3 Benfica 17 12 2 3 38 11 27 38
4 SC Braga 17 9 4 4 30 19 11 31
5 Santa Clara 17 10 1 6 18 16 2 31
6 Guimaraes 17 6 7 4 26 22 4 25
7 Casa Pia 17 6 6 5 19 20 -1 24
8 Moreirense 17 6 4 7 22 25 -3 22
9 Famalicao 17 4 8 5 20 20 0 20
10 Rio Ave 17 5 5 7 18 28 -10 20
11 GIL Vicente 17 4 7 6 19 26 -7 19
12 Estoril 17 4 6 7 18 28 -10 18
13 Estrela 17 4 4 9 16 29 -13 16
14 Nacional 17 4 4 9 13 23 -10 16
15 AVS 17 2 9 6 13 24 -11 15
16 Arouca 17 4 3 10 13 28 -15 15
17 Farense 17 3 5 9 11 23 -12 14
18 Boavista 17 2 6 9 11 26 -15 12
Champions LeagueEuropa League QualificationConference League QualificationRelegation PlayoffRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Nacional has won 1 times, while FC Porto has secured 9 victories. 0 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 6 for Nacional and 33 for FC Porto.

1
0
9
NacionalDrawsFC Porto
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
7/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
30%
3/10 Matches
Nacional Clean Sheets
10%
1/10 Matches
FC Porto Clean Sheets
60%
6/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

12 Jan 2025Primeira Liga
Nacional2 - 0FC Porto
13 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs
FC Porto4 - 1Nacional
18 Apr 2021Primeira Liga
Nacional0 - 1FC Porto
12 Jan 2021Taça de Portugal
Nacional2 - 4FC Porto
20 Dec 2020Primeira Liga
FC Porto2 - 0Nacional
12 May 2019Primeira Liga
Nacional0 - 4FC Porto
07 Jan 2019Primeira Liga
FC Porto3 - 1Nacional
04 Mar 2017Primeira Liga
FC Porto7 - 0Nacional
01 Oct 2016Primeira Liga
Nacional0 - 4FC Porto
17 Apr 2016Primeira Liga
FC Porto4 - 0Nacional

Last matches: Nacional 1.10

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 3 (30%)D 2 (20%)L 5 (50%)
Primeira Liga12/01/2025
Nacional
2 - 0
FC Porto
Primeira Liga29/12/2024
Rio Ave
2 - 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga23/12/2024
Guimaraes
2 - 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga19/12/2024
Nacional
0 - 2
Benfica
Primeira Liga14/12/2024
Nacional
1 - 0
Moreirense
Primeira Liga07/12/2024
GIL Vicente
2 - 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga30/11/2024
Nacional
0 - 0
Boavista
Primeira Liga10/11/2024
Estrela
2 - 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga04/11/2024
Nacional
2 - 0
Santa Clara
Taça da Liga29/10/2024
Sporting CP
3 - 1
Nacional

Last matches: FC Porto 1.70

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 5 (50%)D 2 (20%)L 3 (30%)
Primeira Liga12/01/2025
Nacional
2 - 0
FC Porto
Taça da Liga07/01/2025
Sporting CP
1 - 0
FC Porto
Primeira Liga28/12/2024
FC Porto
4 - 0
Boavista
Primeira Liga21/12/2024
Moreirense
0 - 3
FC Porto
Primeira Liga16/12/2024
FC Porto
2 - 0
Estrela
UEFA Europa League12/12/2024
FC Porto
2 - 0
FC Midtjylland
Primeira Liga07/12/2024
Famalicao
1 - 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga02/12/2024
FC Porto
2 - 0
Casa Pia
UEFA Europa League28/11/2024
Anderlecht
2 - 2
FC Porto
Taça de Portugal24/11/2024
Moreirense
2 - 1
FC Porto

Nacional vs FC Porto - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

NacionalGames: 9
FC PortoGames: 8

Matches

48%
Ball Possession
61%
343.78
Total passes
517
266.11
Passes accurate
442.88
76%
Passes %
85%
14.56
Fouls
14.38
2.89
Yellow Cards
2.75
0.11
Red Cards
0
4.44
Corner Kicks
4.13
1.33
Offsides
1.38

Attack

14.89
Total Shots
11.13
3.78
Shots on Goal
5
1.2
expected_goals
1.27
8.22
Shots off Goal
3.75
8.33
Shots insidebox
7.75
6.56
Shots outsidebox
3.38
2.89
Blocked Shots
2.38
0.33
Goals Scored
2.13

Defense

3.11
Goalkeeper Saves
1.13
0.56
Goals Conceded
0.5
0.22
goals_prevented
-0.13
3
Clean Sheets
4
14.56
Fouls
14.38

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 20%
Draw 10%
Away 70%
Nacional FC Porto
18% Clean Sheet 30%
70% Over 0.5 Goals 82%
31% Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Both Teams to Score 67%
Most Likely Scoreline 1-2
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.