Luton vs Derby prediction & betting tips – 20/12/2024

Home » Match Predictions » Luton vs Derby prediction & betting tips – 20/12/2024

Championship - Regular Season - 22

20th Dec 24, 20:00
Kenilworth Road

Luton

LLLLL
2 : 1

HT: 0 - 0

Derby

LLLWL
89' T. Holmes (P. Mpanzu)
90+2' C. Morris
58' K. Jackson (K. Wilson)

Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England

Who will win?

Luton Luton
0%
X
0%
Derby Derby
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Luton and Derby is set for December 20, 2024 at 8:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is Kenilworth Road in Luton, Bedfordshire, England.

  • The probability of winning for Luton is 44%. The probability of a draw between Luton and Derby is 24%. The probability of winning for Derby is 32%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 73% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 27% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 45% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 55%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on February 26, 2022, where Luton won against Derby with a score of 1-0
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Luton has emerged victorious 3 time(s), Derby has claimed 1 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Luton has averaged 1.6 goals per game, while Derby has netted an average of 1.4 goals.
  • In the current Championship standings, Luton occupies the 19th spot, while Derby sits in 14th place.
  • Luton's performance in the Championship this season shows 6 victories, 11 defeats, and 4 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match.
  • Derby has recorded 6 wins, 9 losses, and 6 draws in the Championship this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.2 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.2 goals.
  • Examining Luton's last five outings, they have won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1 goals per match and conceded 2.2 goals.
  • Derby's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 0 times, lost 3 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Luton is E. Adebayo, who has found the net 5 times this season.

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Luton

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 24GT. Kaminski
  • 6DM. McGuinness
  • 5DM. AndersenSubstitution86'
  • 29DT. HolmesGoal
  • 14MT. Chong
  • 8MT. KraußSubstitution69'
  • 18MJ. ClarkSubstitution86'
  • 7MV. MosesSubstitution69'
  • 19FJ. BrownSubstitution69'
  • 9FC. MorrisGoal
  • 11FE. Adebayo

SUBSTITUTES

  • 17MP. MpanzuSubstitution69'Assist
  • 10FC. WoodrowSubstitution69'
  • 37MZ. NelsonSubstitution69'
  • 25FJ. TaylorSubstitution86'
  • 38DJ. JohnsonSubstitution86'
  • 40DC. Chigozie
  • 23GT. Krul
  • 21DE. Pieters
  • 13MM. Nakamba
Coach IconR. EdwardsHead Coach
Derby

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GJ. Widell Zetterström
  • 2DK. WilsonAssist
  • 12DN. Phillips
  • 35DC. Nelson
  • 5DS. BradleySubstitution62'
  • 20DC. Elder
  • 17MK. GoudmijnSubstitution84'
  • 8MB. Osborn
  • 32ME. Adams
  • 19FK. JacksonGoalSubstitution78'
  • 10FJ. YatesSubstitution79'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 3DC. ForsythSubstitution62'
  • 9FJ. CollinsSubstitution78'
  • 11FN. Mendez-LaingSubstitution79'
  • 18MM. HarnessSubstitution84'
  • 27FC. Blackett-Taylor
  • 39FD. Brown
  • 23MJ. Ward
  • 31GJ. Vickers
  • 7FT. Barkhuizen
Coach IconP. WarneHead Coach

Luton vs Derby - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48 19 29 53
2 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31 9 22 52
3 Sheffield Utd 26 16 6 4 36 17 19 52
4 Sunderland 26 14 8 4 39 22 17 50
5 Blackburn 26 12 6 8 31 23 8 42
6 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43 32 11 41
7 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32 21 11 40
8 Watford 26 11 5 10 36 37 -1 38
9 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33 30 3 37
10 Sheffield Wednesday 26 10 7 9 38 40 -2 37
11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43 37 6 36
12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30 30 0 34
13 QPR 26 7 11 8 29 34 -5 32
14 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24 23 1 30
15 Preston 26 6 12 8 28 34 -6 30
16 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34 37 -3 29
17 Oxford United 26 7 8 11 29 41 -12 29
18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31 35 -4 27
19 Stoke City 26 6 9 11 24 32 -8 27
20 Luton 26 7 4 15 27 44 -17 25
21 Cardiff 26 5 9 12 26 41 -15 24
22 Hull City 26 5 8 13 25 36 -11 23
23 Portsmouth 25 5 8 12 30 44 -14 23
24 Plymouth 26 4 9 13 25 54 -29 21

Head to head

These teams have met 7 times in recent seasons. Luton has won 4 times, while Derby has secured 2 victories. 1 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 10 for Luton and 10 for Derby.

4
1
2
LutonDrawsDerby
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
6/7 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/7 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2/7 Matches
Both Teams Scored
57%
4/7 Matches
Luton Clean Sheets
14%
1/7 Matches
Derby Clean Sheets
29%
2/7 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

20 Dec 2024Championship
Luton2 - 1Derby
26 Feb 2022Championship
Luton1 - 0Derby
19 Oct 2021Championship
Derby2 - 2Luton
02 Apr 2021Championship
Derby2 - 0Luton
19 Sep 2020Championship
Luton2 - 1Derby
28 Jan 2020Championship
Luton3 - 2Derby
05 Oct 2019Championship
Derby2 - 0Luton

Last matches: Luton 0.70

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 1 (10%)L 7 (70%)
FA Cup11/01/2025
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Luton
Championship06/01/2025
QPR
2 - 1
Luton
Championship01/01/2025
Luton
0 - 1
Norwich
Championship29/12/2024
Swansea
2 - 1
Luton
Championship26/12/2024
Bristol City
1 - 0
Luton
Championship20/12/2024
Luton
2 - 1
Derby
Championship14/12/2024
Blackburn
2 - 0
Luton
Championship10/12/2024
Luton
2 - 1
Stoke City
Championship07/12/2024
Luton
1 - 1
Swansea
Championship30/11/2024
Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Last matches: Derby 0.80

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 2 (20%)L 6 (60%)
FA Cup14/01/2025
Leyton Orient
1 - 1
Derby
Championship04/01/2025
Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby
Championship01/01/2025
Sheffield Wednesday
4 - 2
Derby
Championship29/12/2024
Derby
0 - 1
Leeds
Championship26/12/2024
Derby
2 - 1
West Brom
Championship20/12/2024
Luton
2 - 1
Derby
Championship13/12/2024
Derby
4 - 0
Portsmouth
Championship10/12/2024
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Championship07/12/2024
Leeds
2 - 0
Derby
Championship01/12/2024
Derby
1 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday

Luton vs Derby - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

LutonGames: 14
DerbyGames: 18

Matches

47%
Ball Possession
42%
354.29
Total passes
320.17
263.36
Passes accurate
234.5
74%
Passes %
72%
12.21
Fouls
12.33
2
Yellow Cards
1.94
0.14
Red Cards
0
6.79
Corner Kicks
4.89
2.07
Offsides
1.56

Attack

11.29
Total Shots
10.11
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.28
1.02
expected_goals
0.91
3.86
Shots off Goal
3.78
8.86
Shots insidebox
7.33
2.43
Shots outsidebox
2.78
4
Blocked Shots
3.06
0.64
Goals Scored
1.11

Defense

3.36
Goalkeeper Saves
3
1.07
Goals Conceded
1
0.07
goals_prevented
-0.22
3
Clean Sheets
5
12.21
Fouls
12.33

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 48%
Draw 21%
Away 31%
Luton Derby
15% Clean Sheet 7%
93% Over 0.5 Goals 85%
41% Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Both Teams to Score 74%
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.