FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund prediction & betting tips – 09/11/2024

Home » Match Predictions » FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund prediction & betting tips – 09/11/2024

Bundesliga - Regular Season - 10

9th Nov 24, 14:30
MEWA ARENA

FSV Mainz 05

WDLDL
3 : 1

HT: 2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

LWWLL
36' Lee Jae-Sung (A. Caci)
45+3' J. Burkardt (D. da Costa)
54' P. Nebel (P. Mwene)
40' S. Guirassy

Referee: F. Badstübner

Who will win?

FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
0%
X
0%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

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What is the prediction for the football match between FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for the FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund to win.

Our advanced algorithm estimates a probability of 10% for a win of FSV Mainz 05 against Borussia Dortmund

The probability for a draw between FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund is 45%

Our prediction model gives a 45% chance for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05

Match Preview

The upcoming match between FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund is set for November 9, 2024 at 2:30 PM. The venue for this encounter is MEWA ARENA in Mainz, Germany. F. Badstübner has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for FSV Mainz 05 is 24%. The probability of a draw between FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund is 27%. The probability of winning for Borussia Dortmund is 48%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 68% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 32% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 25% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 75%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on May 11, 2024, where FSV Mainz 05 won against Borussia Dortmund with a score of 3-0
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, FSV Mainz 05 has emerged victorious 1 time(s), Borussia Dortmund has claimed 2 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. FSV Mainz 05 has averaged 1.4 goals per game, while Borussia Dortmund has netted an average of 1.2 goals.
  • In the current Bundesliga standings, FSV Mainz 05 occupies the 13th spot, while Borussia Dortmund sits in 6th place.
  • FSV Mainz 05's performance in the Bundesliga this season shows 2 victories, 3 defeats, and 4 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match.
  • Borussia Dortmund has recorded 5 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draws in the Bundesliga this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.9 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.7 goals.
  • Examining FSV Mainz 05's last five outings, they have won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.
  • Borussia Dortmund's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 2 times, lost 3 times and drawn 0 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for FSV Mainz 05 is J. Burkardt, who has found the net 5 times this season.
  • S. Guirassy stands out as Borussia Dortmund's most prolific scorer, having notched up 4 goals in the current campaign.
  • FSV Mainz 05 will be without the services of: A. Hanche-Olsen (Finger Injury), M. Jenz (Injury)
  • Borussia Dortmund faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: K. Adeyemi (Thigh Injury), W. Anton (Hip Injury), R. Bensebaini (Yellow Cards), J. Duranville (Thigh Injury), G. Kobel (Thigh Injury), G. Reyna (Groin Injury), N. Sule (Ankle Injury), Y. Couto (Buttock Injury), J. Ryerson (Muscle Injury)

Odds data not available.

Lineups

FSV Mainz 05

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 27GR. Zentner
  • 21DD. da CostaAssistSubstitution80'
  • 16DS. Bell
  • 31DD. Kohr
  • 19MA. CaciAssist
  • 6MK. Sano
  • 18MN. Amiri
  • 2MP. MweneAssist
  • 8FP. NebelGoalSubstitution85'
  • 7FLee Jae-SungGoalSubstitution90'
  • 29FJ. BurkardtGoalSubstitution90'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 30DS. WidmerSubstitution80'
  • 14MHong Hyun-SeokSubstitution85'
  • 9FK. OnisiwoSubstitution90'
  • 11FA. SiebSubstitution90'
  • 22DN. Veratschnig
  • 44FN. Weiper
  • 42MD. Gleiber
  • 4MA. Barkok
  • 1GL. Rieß
Coach IconB. HenriksenHead Coach
Borussia Dortmund

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 33GA. Meyer
  • 13DP. Groß
  • 23DE. Can
  • 4DN. Schlotterbeck
  • 26DJ. RyersonSubstitution74'
  • 8MF. NmechaSubstitution59'
  • 14MM. BeierSubstitution59'
  • 20MM. Sabitzer
  • 10MJ. BrandtSubstitution74'
  • 43MJ. GittensSubstitution59'
  • 9FS. GuirassyGoal

SUBSTITUTES

  • 2DYan CoutoSubstitution59'
  • 49DY. LührsSubstitution59'
  • 21FD. MalenSubstitution59'
  • 37FC. CampbellSubstitution74'
  • 42DA. KabarSubstitution74'
  • 46MA. Azhil
  • 39DF. Mané
  • 35GM. Lotka
  • 32FJ. Paulina
Coach IconN. ŞahinHead Coach

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Bayern München 10 8 2 0 33 7 26 26
2 RB Leipzig 10 6 3 1 15 5 10 21
3 Eintracht Frankfurt 10 6 2 2 26 16 10 20
4 Bayer Leverkusen 10 4 5 1 21 16 5 17
5 SC Freiburg 10 5 2 3 13 11 2 17
6 Union Berlin 10 4 4 2 9 8 1 16
7 Borussia Dortmund 10 5 1 4 18 18 0 16
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 17 21 -4 15
9 Borussia Mönchengladbach 10 4 2 4 15 14 1 14
10 FSV Mainz 05 10 3 4 3 15 14 1 13
11 VfB Stuttgart 10 3 4 3 19 19 0 13
12 VfL Wolfsburg 10 3 3 4 19 18 1 12
13 FC Augsburg 10 3 3 4 13 20 -7 12
14 1. FC Heidenheim 10 3 1 6 13 15 -2 10
15 1899 Hoffenheim 10 2 3 5 13 19 -6 9
16 FC St. Pauli 10 2 2 6 7 12 -5 8
17 Holstein Kiel 10 1 2 7 12 25 -13 5
18 VfL Bochum 10 0 2 8 10 30 -20 2
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. FSV Mainz 05 has won 3 times, while Borussia Dortmund has secured 4 victories. 3 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 15 for FSV Mainz 05 and 14 for Borussia Dortmund.

3
3
4
FSV Mainz 05DrawsBorussia Dortmund
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
70%
7/10 Matches
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
20%
2/10 Matches
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
10%
1/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

09 Nov 2024Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 053 - 1Borussia Dortmund
11 May 2024Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 053 - 0Borussia Dortmund
19 Dec 2023Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund1 - 1FSV Mainz 05
27 May 2023Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund2 - 2FSV Mainz 05
25 Jan 2023Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 051 - 2Borussia Dortmund
16 Mar 2022Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 050 - 1Borussia Dortmund
16 Oct 2021Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund3 - 1FSV Mainz 05
16 May 2021Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 051 - 3Borussia Dortmund
16 Jan 2021Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund1 - 1FSV Mainz 05
17 Jun 2020Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund0 - 2FSV Mainz 05

Last matches: FSV Mainz 05 1.10

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 3 (30%)D 2 (20%)L 5 (50%)
Bundesliga09/11/2024
FSV Mainz 05
3 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga03/11/2024
SC Freiburg
0 - 0
FSV Mainz 05
DFB Pokal30/10/2024
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 4
Bayern München
Bundesliga25/10/2024
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga19/10/2024
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 2
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga05/10/2024
FC St. Pauli
0 - 3
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga28/09/2024
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 2
1. FC Heidenheim
Bundesliga20/09/2024
FC Augsburg
2 - 3
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga15/09/2024
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
Friendlies Clubs04/09/2024
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 1
SV Darmstadt 98

Last matches: Borussia Dortmund 1.50

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 5 (50%)D 0 (0%)L 5 (50%)
Bundesliga09/11/2024
FSV Mainz 05
3 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League05/11/2024
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
Bundesliga02/11/2024
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 1
RB Leipzig
DFB Pokal29/10/2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga26/10/2024
FC Augsburg
2 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League22/10/2024
Real Madrid
5 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga18/10/2024
Borussia Dortmund
2 - 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga05/10/2024
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League01/10/2024
Borussia Dortmund
7 - 1
Celtic
Bundesliga27/09/2024
Borussia Dortmund
4 - 2
VfL Bochum

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

FSV Mainz 05Games: 10
Borussia DortmundGames: 10

Matches

48%
Ball Possession
62%
407.4
Total passes
584.3
318.9
Passes accurate
509.2
77%
Passes %
87%
12.9
Fouls
10.3
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.7
0.2
Red Cards
0.3
4.9
Corner Kicks
5.5
1.9
Offsides
1.1

Attack

12.3
Total Shots
13.3
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.9
1.22
expected_goals
1.67
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.5
7.8
Shots insidebox
9.6
4.5
Shots outsidebox
3.7
3.7
Blocked Shots
3.9
1.5
Goals Scored
1.8

Defense

3.7
Goalkeeper Saves
2.6
1.4
Goals Conceded
1.8
0.1
goals_prevented
-0.6
2
Clean Sheets
2
12.9
Fouls
10.3

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Main Prediction
Double chance : draw or Borussia Dortmund
Winner
Borussia Dortmund
FSV Mainz 05 Goals
-1.5
Borussia Dortmund Goals
-2.5
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.