Derby vs West Brom prediction & betting tips – 26/12/2024

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Championship - Regular Season - 23

26th Dec 24, 17:30
Pride Park Stadium

Derby

LLLWL
2 : 1

HT: 1 - 0

West Brom

LDWDL
28' J. Yates (K. Goudmijn)
68' M. Holgate (OG)
81' G. Diangana (T. Fellows)

Referee: Jarred Gillett, Australia

Who will win?

Derby Derby
0%
X
0%
West Brom West Brom
0%
0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Derby and West Brom is set for December 26, 2024 at 5:30 PM. The venue for this encounter is Pride Park Stadium in Derby, England. Jarred Gillett, Australia has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Derby is 40%. The probability of a draw between Derby and West Brom is 33%. The probability of winning for West Brom is 26%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 72% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 28% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 67% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 33%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on December 26, 2024, where Derby and West Brom drew with a score of 0-0
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Derby has emerged victorious 2 time(s), West Brom has claimed 1 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Derby has averaged 0.4 goals per game, while West Brom has netted an average of 0.4 goals.
  • In the current Championship standings, Derby occupies the 16th spot, while West Brom sits in 7th place.
  • Derby's performance in the Championship this season shows 6 victories, 10 defeats, and 6 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match.
  • West Brom has recorded 8 wins, 3 losses, and 11 draws in the Championship this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.2 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 0.7 goals.
  • Examining Derby's last five outings, they have won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
  • West Brom's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 2 times, lost 1 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 1 goals.
  • J. Maja stands out as West Brom's most prolific scorer, having notched up 10 goals in the current campaign.
  • Derby will be without the services of: T. Chirewa (Thigh Injury), R. Nyambe (Knee Injury), E. Cashin (Muscle Injury), D. Ozoh (Muscle Injury)
  • West Brom faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: D. Dike (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Derby

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GJ. Widell Zetterström
  • 2DK. Wilson
  • 35DC. Nelson
  • 12DN. Phillips
  • 20DC. ElderSubstitution84'
  • 17MK. GoudmijnAssist
  • 32ME. Adams
  • 19MK. JacksonSubstitution71'
  • 18MM. Harness
  • 11MN. Mendez-LaingSubstitution72'
  • 10FJ. YatesGoalSubstitution90'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 28MT. ChirewaSubstitution71'
  • 3DC. ForsythSubstitution72'
  • 5DS. BradleySubstitution84'
  • 39FD. BrownSubstitution90'
  • 7FT. Barkhuizen
  • 31GJ. Vickers
  • 23MJ. Ward
  • 27FC. Blackett-Taylor
  • 9FJ. Collins
Coach IconP. WarneHead Coach
West Brom

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GA. Palmer
  • 2DD. Furlong
  • 3DM. HolgateOwn GoalSubstitution75'
  • 5DK. Bartley
  • 14DT. Heggem
  • 20MU. RačićSubstitution46'
  • 27MA. Mowatt
  • 31MT. FellowsAssist
  • 10MJ. SwiftSubstitution69'
  • 22MM. JohnstonSubstitution69'
  • 9FJ. Maja

SUBSTITUTES

  • 8MJ. MolumbySubstitution46'
  • 11MG. DianganaSubstitution69'Goal
  • 18FK. Ahearne-GrantSubstitution69'
  • 4MC. StylesSubstitution75'
  • 44FD. Cole
  • 23GJ. Wildsmith
  • 24DG. Frabotta
  • 7MJ. Wallace
  • 17MO. Diakité
Coach IconC. BruntHead Coach

Derby vs West Brom - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Leeds 27 16 8 3 51 19 32 56
2 Sheffield Utd 27 17 6 4 38 17 21 55
3 Burnley 27 14 11 2 31 9 22 53
4 Sunderland 27 14 9 4 39 22 17 51
5 Blackburn 27 12 6 9 31 24 7 42
6 West Brom 27 9 14 4 33 22 11 41
7 Middlesbrough 27 11 8 8 44 34 10 41
8 Watford 27 12 5 10 38 37 1 41
9 Bristol City 27 9 10 8 33 31 2 37
10 Sheffield Wednesday 27 10 7 10 38 43 -5 37
11 Norwich 27 9 9 9 43 39 4 36
12 QPR 27 8 11 8 30 34 -4 35
13 Swansea 27 9 7 11 30 33 -3 34
14 Coventry 27 8 8 11 35 37 -2 32
15 Oxford United 27 8 8 11 30 41 -11 32
16 Preston 27 6 13 8 28 34 -6 31
17 Millwall 26 7 9 10 24 24 0 30
18 Stoke City 27 6 10 11 25 33 -8 28
19 Derby 27 7 6 14 31 37 -6 27
20 Cardiff 27 6 9 12 29 41 -12 27
21 Hull City 27 6 8 13 26 36 -10 26
22 Portsmouth 26 6 8 12 32 45 -13 26
23 Luton 27 7 5 15 27 44 -17 26
24 Plymouth 27 4 9 14 25 55 -30 21

Head to head

These teams have met 9 times in recent seasons. Derby has won 6 times, while West Brom has secured 1 victories. 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 14 for Derby and 7 for West Brom.

6
2
1
DerbyDrawsWest Brom
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
6/9 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
4/9 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
2/9 Matches
Both Teams Scored
56%
5/9 Matches
Derby Clean Sheets
33%
3/9 Matches
West Brom Clean Sheets
22%
2/9 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

26 Dec 2024Championship
Derby2 - 1West Brom
23 Aug 2022League Cup
Derby1 - 0West Brom
27 Dec 2021Championship
Derby1 - 0West Brom
14 Sep 2021Championship
West Brom0 - 0Derby
08 Jul 2020Championship
West Brom2 - 0Derby
24 Aug 2019Championship
Derby1 - 1West Brom
05 May 2019Championship
Derby3 - 1West Brom
24 Oct 2018Championship
West Brom1 - 4Derby
07 Jan 2017FA Cup
West Brom1 - 2Derby

Last matches: Derby 0.80

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 2 (20%)L 6 (60%)
Championship18/01/2025
Derby
0 - 2
Watford
FA Cup14/01/2025
Leyton Orient
1 - 1
Derby
Championship04/01/2025
Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby
Championship01/01/2025
Sheffield Wednesday
4 - 2
Derby
Championship29/12/2024
Derby
0 - 1
Leeds
Championship26/12/2024
Derby
2 - 1
West Brom
Championship20/12/2024
Luton
2 - 1
Derby
Championship13/12/2024
Derby
4 - 0
Portsmouth
Championship10/12/2024
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Championship07/12/2024
Leeds
2 - 0
Derby

Last matches: West Brom 1.30

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 3 (30%)D 4 (40%)L 3 (30%)
Championship18/01/2025
West Brom
1 - 1
Stoke City
FA Cup11/01/2025
Bournemouth
5 - 1
West Brom
Championship04/01/2025
Swansea
1 - 1
West Brom
Championship01/01/2025
West Brom
3 - 1
Preston
Championship29/12/2024
Sheffield Utd
1 - 1
West Brom
Championship26/12/2024
Derby
2 - 1
West Brom
Championship22/12/2024
West Brom
2 - 0
Bristol City
Championship15/12/2024
Watford
2 - 1
West Brom
Championship11/12/2024
West Brom
2 - 0
Coventry
Championship08/12/2024
West Brom
2 - 2
Sheffield Utd

Derby vs West Brom - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

DerbyGames: 24
West BromGames: 15

Matches

44%
Ball Possession
53%
334.5
Total passes
453.27
249.96
Passes accurate
377.6
74%
Passes %
83%
12.67
Fouls
8.07
2.08
Yellow Cards
1.93
0
Red Cards
0
5.46
Corner Kicks
5.27
1.63
Offsides
1.4

Attack

11.08
Total Shots
12.67
3.63
Shots on Goal
4.13
1.09
expected_goals
1.32
4.25
Shots off Goal
4.67
8.29
Shots insidebox
8.13
2.79
Shots outsidebox
4.53
3.21
Blocked Shots
3.87
1
Goals Scored
0.8

Defense

2.67
Goalkeeper Saves
3.07
1.13
Goals Conceded
0.47
-0.08
goals_prevented
0
5
Clean Sheets
3
12.67
Fouls
8.07

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 42%
Draw 33%
Away 25%
Derby West Brom
16% Clean Sheet 11%
89% Over 0.5 Goals 84%
37% Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Both Teams to Score 73%
Most Likely Scoreline 2-1
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.