Burnley vs Watford prediction & betting tips – 21/12/2024

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Championship - Regular Season - 22

21st Dec 24, 15:00
Turf Moor

Burnley

WWDDW
2 : 1

HT: 1 - 0

Watford

LLLLW
9' J. Anthony (J. Brownhill)
62' J. Brownhill (H. Mejbri)
80' K. Baah

Referee: J. Linington

Who will win?

Burnley Burnley
0%
X
0%
Watford Watford
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

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Match Facts

The upcoming match between Burnley and Watford is set for December 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is Turf Moor in Burnley, England. J. Linington has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Burnley is 46%. The probability of a draw between Burnley and Watford is 23%. The probability of winning for Watford is 30%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 70% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 30% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 55% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 45%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on February 14, 2023, where Burnley and Watford drew with a score of 1-1
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Burnley has emerged victorious 2 time(s), Watford has claimed 1 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Burnley has averaged 0.8 goals per game, while Watford has netted an average of 0.6 goals.
  • In the current Championship standings, Burnley occupies the 3rd spot, while Watford sits in 7th place.
  • Burnley's performance in the Championship this season shows 11 victories, 2 defeats, and 8 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match.
  • Watford has recorded 10 wins, 6 losses, and 4 draws in the Championship this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.5 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.3 goals.
  • Examining Burnley's last five outings, they have won 3 times, lost 0 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 0.4 goals.
  • Watford's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 2 times, lost 0 times and drawn 3 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Burnley is J. Brownhill, who has found the net 7 times this season.
  • Burnley will be without the services of: J. Beyer (Thigh Injury), A. Ramsey (Knee Injury), M. Tresor Ndayishimiye (Leg Injury), B. Manuel Hedilazio (Calf Injury)
  • Watford faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: T. Dele-Bashiru (Knee Injury), K. Keben (Injury), A. Ogbonna (Hamstring Injury)

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Burnley

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GJ. Trafford
  • 14DC. RobertsSubstitution90'
  • 6DC. Egan-Riley
  • 5DM. Estève
  • 12DB. Humphreys
  • 24MJ. Cullen
  • 29MJ. Laurent
  • 11MJ. AnthonyGoal
  • 8MJ. BrownhillAssistGoal
  • 28MH. MejbriAssistSubstitution84'
  • 19FZ. FlemmingSubstitution90'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 30FL. KoleoshoSubstitution84'
  • 16DJ. EganSubstitution90'
  • 9FJ. RodríguezSubstitution90'
  • 32GV. Hladký
  • 18DH. Ekdal
  • 37FA. Hountondji
  • 4DJ. Worrall
  • 44DH. Delcroix
  • 23DLucas Pires
Coach IconS. ParkerHead Coach
Watford

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GD. Bachmann
  • 2DJ. NgakiaSubstitution59'
  • 5DR. Porteous
  • 6DM. Pollock
  • 37DY. LarouciSubstitution60'
  • 14MP. DwomohSubstitution82'
  • 34MK. BaahGoal
  • 17MM. Sissoko
  • 8MG. Chakvetadze
  • 11MR. VataSubstitution46'
  • 19FV. BayoSubstitution71'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 3DF. SierraltaSubstitution46'
  • 45DR. AndrewsSubstitution59'
  • 36DF. EboseleSubstitution60'
  • 18FD. JebbisonSubstitution71'
  • 39ME. KayembeSubstitution82'
  • 21DA. Ogbonna
  • 22DJ. Morris
  • 7MT. Ince
  • 23GJ. Bond
Coach IconT. CleverleyHead Coach

Standings data not available.

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Burnley has won 5 times, while Watford has secured 2 victories. 3 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 12 for Burnley and 8 for Watford.

5
3
2
BurnleyDrawsWatford
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
1/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
50%
5/10 Matches
Burnley Clean Sheets
40%
4/10 Matches
Watford Clean Sheets
30%
3/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

21 Dec 2024Championship
Burnley2 - 1Watford
14 Feb 2023Championship
Burnley1 - 1Watford
12 Aug 2022Championship
Watford1 - 0Burnley
30 Apr 2022Premier League
Watford1 - 2Burnley
05 Feb 2022Premier League
Burnley0 - 0Watford
25 Jun 2020Premier League
Burnley1 - 0Watford
23 Nov 2019Premier League
Watford0 - 3Burnley
19 Jan 2019Premier League
Watford0 - 0Burnley
19 Aug 2018Premier League
Burnley1 - 3Watford
07 Apr 2018Premier League
Watford1 - 2Burnley

Last matches: Burnley 2.20

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 6 (60%)D 4 (40%)L 0 (0%)
FA Cup11/01/2025
Reading
1 - 3
Burnley
Championship04/01/2025
Blackburn
0 - 1
Burnley
Championship01/01/2025
Burnley
0 - 0
Stoke City
Championship29/12/2024
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Burnley
Championship26/12/2024
Sheffield Utd
0 - 2
Burnley
Championship21/12/2024
Burnley
2 - 1
Watford
Championship15/12/2024
Norwich
1 - 2
Burnley
Championship10/12/2024
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Championship06/12/2024
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
Championship30/11/2024
Stoke City
0 - 2
Burnley

Last matches: Watford 1.10

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 3 (30%)D 2 (20%)L 5 (50%)
FA Cup09/01/2025
Fulham
4 - 1
Watford
Championship04/01/2025
Watford
1 - 2
Sheffield Utd
Championship01/01/2025
QPR
3 - 1
Watford
Championship29/12/2024
Watford
1 - 2
Cardiff
Championship26/12/2024
Watford
2 - 1
Portsmouth
Championship21/12/2024
Burnley
2 - 1
Watford
Championship15/12/2024
Watford
2 - 1
West Brom
Championship11/12/2024
Hull City
1 - 1
Watford
Championship30/11/2024
Watford
0 - 0
QPR
Championship26/11/2024
Watford
1 - 0
Bristol City

Burnley vs Watford - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

BurnleyGames: 15
WatfordGames: 20

Matches

56%
Ball Possession
52%
490.2
Total passes
417.4
413.13
Passes accurate
338.2
84%
Passes %
81%
12.4
Fouls
13
1.4
Yellow Cards
2.5
0.07
Red Cards
0.05
6.2
Corner Kicks
5.35
1.47
Offsides
1.9

Attack

13.27
Total Shots
11.55
3.87
Shots on Goal
3.8
1.12
expected_goals
1.3
5.33
Shots off Goal
4.6
8.27
Shots insidebox
7.1
5
Shots outsidebox
4.45
4.07
Blocked Shots
3.15
0.73
Goals Scored
1.3

Defense

2.2
Goalkeeper Saves
2.85
0.27
Goals Conceded
1.3
0.07
goals_prevented
0.05
3
Clean Sheets
5
12.4
Fouls
13

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 49%
Draw 23%
Away 28%
Burnley Watford
26% Clean Sheet 11%
89% Over 0.5 Goals 74%
45% Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams to Score 72%
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.