Burnley vs Watford prediction & betting tips – 21/12/2024

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Championship - Regular Season - 22

21st Dec 24, 15:00
Turf Moor

Burnley

WWDDW
2 : 1

HT: 1 - 0

Watford

LWDDW
9' J. Anthony (J. Brownhill)
62' J. Brownhill (H. Mejbri)
80' K. Baah

Referee: James Linington, England

Who will win?

Burnley Burnley
0%
X
0%
Watford Watford
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Burnley and Watford is set for December 21, 2024 at 3:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is Turf Moor in Burnley, England. J. Linington has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Burnley is 46%. The probability of a draw between Burnley and Watford is 23%. The probability of winning for Watford is 30%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 70% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 30% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 55% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 45%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on February 14, 2023, where Burnley and Watford drew with a score of 1-1
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Burnley has emerged victorious 2 time(s), Watford has claimed 1 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Burnley has averaged 0.8 goals per game, while Watford has netted an average of 0.6 goals.
  • In the current Championship standings, Burnley occupies the 3rd spot, while Watford sits in 7th place.
  • Burnley's performance in the Championship this season shows 11 victories, 2 defeats, and 8 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match.
  • Watford has recorded 10 wins, 6 losses, and 4 draws in the Championship this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.5 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.3 goals.
  • Examining Burnley's last five outings, they have won 3 times, lost 0 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 0.4 goals.
  • Watford's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 2 times, lost 0 times and drawn 3 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Burnley is J. Brownhill, who has found the net 7 times this season.
  • Burnley will be without the services of: J. Beyer (Thigh Injury), A. Ramsey (Knee Injury), M. Tresor Ndayishimiye (Leg Injury), B. Manuel Hedilazio (Calf Injury)
  • Watford faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: T. Dele-Bashiru (Knee Injury), K. Keben (Injury), A. Ogbonna (Hamstring Injury)

Burnley vs Watford - Odds

Home1.73
Draw3.69
Away4.91
Home2.40
Draw2.10
Away5.50
Home2.10
Draw2.50
Away4.75
Home/Draw1.17
Home/Away1.25
Draw/Away2.15
Home/Draw1.13
Home/Away1.62
Draw/Away1.55
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.59.501.07
1.53.101.38
2.51.722.15
3.51.264.00
4.51.088.00
5.51.0117.00
Over 1.53.10
Under 1.51.36
Over 2.58.50
Under 2.51.07
Over 0.51.47
Under 0.52.75
Over 1.52.30
Under 1.51.60
Over 2.55.50
Under 2.51.15
Over 3.513.00
Under 3.51.02
Over 0.51.28
Under 0.53.60
Home1.26
Away3.60
HandicapHomeAway
-1.252.701.47
-12.301.62
-0.751.921.88
-0.51.752.15
-0.251.482.65
Home +01.33
Away +03.20
Home/Draw17.00
Home/Away67.00
Draw/Away11.00
Draw/Draw5.00
Home/Home2.80
Draw/Home4.50
Away/Home29.00
Away/Draw19.00
Away/Away9.00
Yes2.05
No1.70
Yes4.33
No1.18
Yes2.00
No1.78
Yes5.00
No1.15
Yes3.75
No1.24
Yes2.75
No1.44
Yes8.50
No1.07
HandicapHomeDrawAway
-313.008.001.09
-26.254.501.35
-12.953.302.10
+11.156.2511.00
Home -16.50
Away -11.55
Draw -13.10
Home +11.13
Draw +15.25
Away +121.00
ScoreOdds
0:09.50
0:112.00
0:226.00
0:381.00
0:4226.00
0:5301.00
0:6301.00
1:06.00
1:17.00
1:215.00
1:351.00
1:4176.00
1:5301.00
2:07.50
2:17.50
2:217.00
2:356.00
2:4176.00
3:013.00
3:113.00
3:229.00
3:381.00
4:029.00
4:136.00
4:267.00
5:081.00
5:1101.00
6:0176.00
1:03.75
2:07.00
2:117.00
3:026.00
3:151.00
3:2101.00
4:081.00
4:1101.00
0:02.75
1:16.50
2:262.00
0:17.00
0:223.00
0:3101.00
1:229.00
1:3101.00
2:3126.00
3:3126.00
0:4126.00
1:4151.00
2:4151.00
4:2126.00
0:5151.00
1:5151.00
2:5151.00
3:4151.00
5:0126.00
5:1151.00
5:2151.00
4:3151.00
3:5151.00
4:5151.00
5:3151.00
5:4151.00
4:4151.00
5:5151.00
1:03.50
2:06.50
2:112.00
3:017.00
3:129.00
3:276.00
4:051.00
4:176.00
0:03.45
1:16.50
2:241.00
0:16.25
0:223.00
0:371.00
1:223.00
1:371.00
2:3101.00
1st Half3.25
2nd Half2.15
Home2.40
Draw2.10
Away5.50
Home1.55
Draw8.00
Away3.00
Home1.58
Draw9.50
Away2.95
Yes4.75
No1.16
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.54.751.19
1.51.831.92
2.51.244.00
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.52.201.66
1.51.204.20
2.51.0113.00
Yes2.75
No1.44
Odd1.92
Even1.88
Odd2.15
Even1.68

Lineups

Burnley

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GJ. Trafford
  • 14DC. RobertsSubstitution90'
  • 6DC. Egan-Riley
  • 5DM. Estève
  • 12DB. Humphreys
  • 24MJ. Cullen
  • 29MJ. Laurent
  • 11MJ. AnthonyGoal
  • 8MJ. BrownhillAssistGoal
  • 28MH. MejbriAssistSubstitution84'
  • 19FZ. FlemmingSubstitution90'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 30FL. KoleoshoSubstitution84'
  • 16DJ. EganSubstitution90'
  • 9FJ. RodríguezSubstitution90'
  • 32GV. Hladký
  • 18DH. Ekdal
  • 37FA. Hountondji
  • 4DJ. Worrall
  • 44DH. Delcroix
  • 23DLucas Pires
Coach IconS. ParkerHead Coach
Watford

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GD. Bachmann
  • 2DJ. NgakiaSubstitution59'
  • 5DR. Porteous
  • 6DM. Pollock
  • 37DY. LarouciSubstitution60'
  • 14MP. DwomohSubstitution82'
  • 34MK. BaahGoal
  • 17MM. Sissoko
  • 8MG. Chakvetadze
  • 11MR. VataSubstitution46'
  • 19FV. BayoSubstitution71'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 3DF. SierraltaSubstitution46'
  • 45DR. AndrewsSubstitution59'
  • 36DF. EboseleSubstitution60'
  • 18FD. JebbisonSubstitution71'
  • 39ME. KayembeSubstitution82'
  • 21DA. Ogbonna
  • 22DJ. Morris
  • 7MT. Ince
  • 23GJ. Bond
Coach IconT. CleverleyHead Coach

Burnley vs Watford - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Sheffield Utd 22 15 5 2 32 11 21 48
2 Leeds 22 13 6 3 41 15 26 45
3 Burnley 22 12 8 2 28 9 19 44
4 Sunderland 22 12 7 3 34 18 16 43
5 Blackburn 21 11 4 6 25 18 7 37
6 Middlesbrough 22 10 5 7 38 28 10 35
7 West Brom 22 8 11 3 26 16 10 35
8 Watford 21 10 4 7 30 28 2 34
9 Sheffield Wednesday 22 9 5 8 28 30 -2 32
10 Millwall 21 7 7 7 21 18 3 28
11 Swansea 22 7 6 9 24 24 0 27
12 Bristol City 22 6 9 7 26 28 -2 27
13 Norwich 22 6 8 8 37 34 3 26
14 QPR 22 5 10 7 23 28 -5 25
15 Luton 22 7 4 11 25 38 -13 25
16 Derby 22 6 6 10 27 28 -1 24
17 Coventry 22 6 6 10 28 34 -6 24
18 Preston 22 4 11 7 22 29 -7 23
19 Stoke City 22 5 7 10 23 30 -7 22
20 Portsmouth 20 4 8 8 25 35 -10 20
21 Hull City 22 4 7 11 21 31 -10 19
22 Cardiff 21 4 6 11 19 34 -15 18
23 Oxford United 21 4 6 11 21 37 -16 18
24 Plymouth 21 4 6 11 22 45 -23 18

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Burnley has won 5 times, while Watford has secured 2 victories. 3 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 12 for Burnley and 8 for Watford.

5
3
2
BurnleyDrawsWatford
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
10%
1/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
50%
5/10 Matches
Burnley Clean Sheets
40%
4/10 Matches
Watford Clean Sheets
30%
3/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

21 Dec 2024Championship
Burnley2 - 1Watford
14 Feb 2023Championship
Burnley1 - 1Watford
12 Aug 2022Championship
Watford1 - 0Burnley
30 Apr 2022Premier League
Watford1 - 2Burnley
05 Feb 2022Premier League
Burnley0 - 0Watford
25 Jun 2020Premier League
Burnley1 - 0Watford
23 Nov 2019Premier League
Watford0 - 3Burnley
19 Jan 2019Premier League
Watford0 - 0Burnley
19 Aug 2018Premier League
Burnley1 - 3Watford
07 Apr 2018Premier League
Watford1 - 2Burnley

Last matches: Burnley 2.10

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 6 (60%)D 3 (30%)L 1 (10%)
Championship21/12/2024
Burnley
2 - 1
Watford
Championship15/12/2024
Norwich
1 - 2
Burnley
Championship10/12/2024
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Championship06/12/2024
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
Championship30/11/2024
Stoke City
0 - 2
Burnley
Championship26/11/2024
Burnley
2 - 0
Coventry
Championship23/11/2024
Bristol City
0 - 1
Burnley
Championship10/11/2024
Burnley
1 - 0
Swansea
Championship07/11/2024
West Brom
0 - 0
Burnley
Championship03/11/2024
Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley

Last matches: Watford 1.80

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 5 (50%)D 3 (30%)L 2 (20%)
Championship21/12/2024
Burnley
2 - 1
Watford
Championship15/12/2024
Watford
2 - 1
West Brom
Championship11/12/2024
Hull City
1 - 1
Watford
Championship30/11/2024
Watford
0 - 0
QPR
Championship26/11/2024
Watford
1 - 0
Bristol City
Championship22/11/2024
Plymouth
2 - 2
Watford
Championship08/11/2024
Watford
1 - 0
Oxford United
Championship05/11/2024
Swansea
1 - 0
Watford
Championship02/11/2024
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 6
Watford
Championship26/10/2024
Watford
1 - 0
Blackburn

Burnley vs Watford - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

BurnleyGames: 18
WatfordGames: 17

Matches

57%
Ball Possession
51%
500
Total passes
419.47
420.89
Passes accurate
340.41
83%
Passes %
81%
13.44
Fouls
12.06
2.22
Yellow Cards
2.12
0.06
Red Cards
0
5.56
Corner Kicks
5.06
1.22
Offsides
1.76

Attack

12.72
Total Shots
11.88
3.61
Shots on Goal
3.94
1.03
expected_goals
1.34
5.28
Shots off Goal
4.76
7.78
Shots insidebox
7.71
4.94
Shots outsidebox
4.18
3.83
Blocked Shots
3.18
1.11
Goals Scored
1.18

Defense

1.94
Goalkeeper Saves
3.18
0.28
Goals Conceded
1.35
-0.17
goals_prevented
0
9
Clean Sheets
4
13.44
Fouls
12.06

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 48%
Draw 23%
Away 29%
Burnley Watford
28% Clean Sheet 11%
89% Over 0.5 Goals 72%
45% Over 1.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams to Score 71%
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.