Burnley vs Derby prediction & betting tips – 10/12/2024

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Championship - Regular Season - 20

10th Dec 24, 19:45
Turf Moor

Burnley

WDDWW
0 : 0

HT: 0 - 0

Derby

Referee: Andy Davies, England

Who will win?

Burnley Burnley
0%
X
0%
Derby Derby
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Burnley and Derby is set for December 10, 2024 at 7:45 PM. The venue for this encounter is Turf Moor in Burnley, England. A. Davies has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Burnley is 58%. The probability of a draw between Burnley and Derby is 26%. The probability of winning for Derby is 16%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 70% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 30% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 48% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 52%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on January 25, 2016, where Burnley won against Derby with a score of 4-1
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Burnley has emerged victorious 4 time(s), Derby has claimed 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Burnley has averaged 2.2 goals per game, while Derby has netted an average of 0.2 goals.
  • In the current Championship standings, Burnley occupies the 2nd spot, while Derby sits in 15th place.
  • Burnley's performance in the Championship this season shows 10 victories, 2 defeats, and 7 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.3 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match.
  • Derby has recorded 5 wins, 8 losses, and 5 draws in the Championship this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.2 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.3 goals.
  • Examining Burnley's last five outings, they have won 4 times, lost 0 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 0.2 goals.
  • Derby's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Burnley is J. Brownhill, who has found the net 6 times this season.

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Burnley

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GJ. Trafford
  • 14DC. Roberts
  • 12DB. Humphreys
  • 5DM. Estève
  • 23DLucas Pires
  • 8MJ. Brownhill
  • 24MJ. Cullen
  • 29MJ. LaurentSubstitution69'
  • 11FJ. AnthonySubstitution82'
  • 19FZ. FlemmingSubstitution63'
  • 7FJ. Sarmiento

SUBSTITUTES

  • 9FJ. RodríguezSubstitution63'
  • 30FL. KoleoshoSubstitution69'
  • 37FA. HountondjiSubstitution82'
  • 32GV. Hladký
  • 4DJ. Worrall
  • 42MH. Massengo
  • 18DH. Ekdal
  • 16DJ. Egan
  • 49MT. McDermott
Coach IconS. ParkerHead Coach
Derby

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GJ. Widell Zetterström
  • 23DJ. WardSubstitution69'
  • 12DN. PhillipsSubstitution77'
  • 35DC. Nelson
  • 6DE. Cashin
  • 20DC. Elder
  • 17MK. GoudmijnSubstitution76'
  • 16ML. Thompson
  • 32ME. Adams
  • 39FD. BrownSubstitution58'
  • 10FJ. YatesSubstitution69'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 18MM. HarnessSubstitution58'
  • 2DK. WilsonSubstitution69'
  • 19FK. JacksonSubstitution69'
  • 11FN. Mendez-LaingSubstitution76'
  • 5DS. BradleySubstitution77'
  • 31GJ. Vickers
  • 3DC. Forsyth
  • 9FJ. Collins
  • 7FT. Barkhuizen
Coach IconP. WarneHead Coach

Unknown Team vs Derby - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Leeds 26 15 8 3 48 19 29 53
2 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31 9 22 52
3 Sheffield Utd 26 16 6 4 36 17 19 52
4 Sunderland 26 14 8 4 39 22 17 50
5 Middlesbrough 26 11 8 7 43 32 11 41
6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32 21 11 40
7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 28 23 5 39
8 Bristol City 26 9 10 7 33 30 3 37
9 Watford 25 11 4 10 35 36 -1 37
10 Sheffield Wednesday 26 10 7 9 38 40 -2 37
11 Norwich 26 9 9 8 43 37 6 36
12 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30 30 0 34
13 QPR 26 7 11 8 29 34 -5 32
14 Millwall 25 7 9 9 24 23 1 30
15 Preston 26 6 12 8 28 34 -6 30
16 Coventry 26 7 8 11 34 37 -3 29
17 Oxford United 25 7 7 11 28 40 -12 28
18 Derby 26 7 6 13 31 35 -4 27
19 Stoke City 26 6 9 11 24 32 -8 27
20 Luton 26 7 4 15 27 44 -17 25
21 Portsmouth 24 5 8 11 30 41 -11 23
22 Hull City 26 5 8 13 25 36 -11 23
23 Cardiff 25 5 8 12 25 40 -15 23
24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 24 53 -29 20

Head to head

These teams have met 9 times in recent seasons. Burnley has won 6 times, while Derby has secured 0 victories. 3 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 15 for Burnley and 3 for Derby.

6
3
0
BurnleyDrawsDerby
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
6/9 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
4/9 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
11%
1/9 Matches
Both Teams Scored
33%
3/9 Matches
Burnley Clean Sheets
67%
6/9 Matches
Derby Clean Sheets
33%
3/9 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

10 Dec 2024Championship
Burnley0 - 0Derby
25 Jan 2016Championship
Burnley4 - 1Derby
21 Sep 2015Championship
Derby0 - 0Burnley
01 Mar 2014Championship
Burnley2 - 0Derby
31 Aug 2013Championship
Derby0 - 3Burnley
26 Dec 2012Championship
Burnley2 - 0Derby
22 Sep 2012Championship
Derby1 - 2Burnley
21 Jan 2012Championship
Burnley0 - 0Derby
27 Aug 2011Championship
Derby1 - 2Burnley

Last matches: Burnley 2.20

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 6 (60%)D 4 (40%)L 0 (0%)
Championship04/01/2025
Blackburn
0 - 1
Burnley
Championship01/01/2025
Burnley
0 - 0
Stoke City
Championship29/12/2024
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Burnley
Championship26/12/2024
Sheffield Utd
0 - 2
Burnley
Championship21/12/2024
Burnley
2 - 1
Watford
Championship15/12/2024
Norwich
1 - 2
Burnley
Championship10/12/2024
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Championship06/12/2024
Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
Championship30/11/2024
Stoke City
0 - 2
Burnley
Championship26/11/2024
Burnley
2 - 0
Coventry

Last matches: Derby 0.70

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 1 (10%)L 7 (70%)
Championship04/01/2025
Bristol City
1 - 0
Derby
Championship01/01/2025
Sheffield Wednesday
4 - 2
Derby
Championship29/12/2024
Derby
0 - 1
Leeds
Championship26/12/2024
Derby
2 - 1
West Brom
Championship20/12/2024
Luton
2 - 1
Derby
Championship13/12/2024
Derby
4 - 0
Portsmouth
Championship10/12/2024
Burnley
0 - 0
Derby
Championship07/12/2024
Leeds
2 - 0
Derby
Championship01/12/2024
Derby
1 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
Championship27/11/2024
Derby
1 - 2
Swansea

Burnley vs Derby - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

BurnleyGames: 21
DerbyGames: 18

Matches

56%
Ball Possession
44%
487.76
Total passes
341.89
409.52
Passes accurate
254.56
83%
Passes %
74%
13.19
Fouls
11.94
1.86
Yellow Cards
2
0.1
Red Cards
0
5.14
Corner Kicks
5.56
1.38
Offsides
1.78

Attack

11.95
Total Shots
10.89
3.29
Shots on Goal
3.61
1.04
expected_goals
0.97
5.24
Shots off Goal
3.89
7.57
Shots insidebox
7.72
4.38
Shots outsidebox
3.17
3.43
Blocked Shots
3.39
1.05
Goals Scored
0.89

Defense

2.1
Goalkeeper Saves
2.94
0.24
Goals Conceded
0.89
-0.1
goals_prevented
-0.22
12
Clean Sheets
5
13.19
Fouls
11.94

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 57%
Draw 28%
Away 15%
Burnley Derby
31% Clean Sheet 13%
87% Over 0.5 Goals 69%
44% Over 1.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams to Score 71%
Most Likely Scoreline 1-1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.