Brighton vs Southampton prediction & betting tips – 29/11/2024

Home » Match Predictions » Brighton vs Southampton prediction & betting tips – 29/11/2024

Premier League - Regular Season - 13

29th Nov 24, 20:00
American Express Stadium

Brighton

DWWLL
1 : 1

HT: 1 - 0

Southampton

DLLWW
29' K. Mitoma (T. Lamptey)
59' F. Downes

Referee: Robert Jones, England

Who will win?

Brighton Brighton
0%
X
0%
Southampton Southampton
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Brighton and Southampton is set for November 29, 2024 at 8:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is American Express Stadium in Falmer, East Sussex, England. R. Jones has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Brighton is 55%. The probability of a draw between Brighton and Southampton is 29%. The probability of winning for Southampton is 15%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 73% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 27% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 45% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 55%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on May 21, 2023, where Brighton won against Southampton with a score of 3-1
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Brighton has emerged victorious 3 time(s), Southampton has claimed 0 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Brighton has averaged 2.2 goals per game, while Southampton has netted an average of 1.2 goals.
  • In the current Premier League standings, Brighton occupies the 5th spot, while Southampton sits in 20th place.
  • Brighton's performance in the Premier League this season shows 6 victories, 2 defeats, and 4 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match.
  • Southampton has recorded 1 wins, 10 losses, and 1 draws in the Premier League this season. Their offensive output stands at 0.8 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 2 goals.
  • Examining Brighton's last five outings, they have won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.
  • Southampton's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 2 times, lost 3 times and drawn 0 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Brighton is D. Welbeck, who has found the net 6 times this season.
  • Brighton will be without the services of: C. Baleba (Red Card), S. March (Knee Injury), J. Milner (Thigh Injury), M. O'Riley (Ankle Injury), L. Dunk (Calf Injury), J. Hinshelwood (Knee Injury), F. Kadioglu (Toe Injury), T. Lamptey (Calf Injury), A. Webster (Muscle Injury)
  • Southampton faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: G. Bazunu (Achilles Tendon Injury), J. Bednarek (Knee Injury), A. Ramsdale (Finger Injury), W. Smallbone (Thigh Injury), R. Stewart (Thigh Injury), F. Downes (Knock)

Brighton vs Southampton - Odds

Home1.39
Draw5.60
Away7.60
Home1.81
Draw2.82
Away5.90
Home1.66
Draw3.35
Away5.60
Home/Draw1.09
Home/Away1.14
Draw/Away3.10
Home/Draw1.12
Home/Away1.36
Draw/Away1.91
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.530.001.01
1.57.201.11
2.53.151.38
3.51.871.98
4.51.373.20
5.51.146.00
6.51.0511.00
Over 1.52.02
Under 1.51.80
Over 2.54.22
Under 2.51.23
Over 3.510.00
Under 3.51.05
Over 0.51.21
Under 0.54.40
Over 1.51.58
Under 1.52.37
Over 2.52.84
Under 2.51.43
Over 3.56.00
Under 3.51.13
Over 0.51.11
Under 0.56.61
Over 4.513.00
Under 4.51.03
Home1.14
Away5.80
HandicapHomeAway
-22.781.47
-1.752.281.66
-1.52.001.85
-1.251.782.09
-11.562.50
-0.751.492.71
Home -0.51.83
Away -0.51.95
Home/Draw19.00
Home/Away58.00
Draw/Away16.00
Draw/Draw9.00
Home/Home2.01
Draw/Home4.60
Away/Home19.00
Away/Draw20.00
Away/Away12.00
Yes2.65
No1.42
Yes8.00
No1.05
Yes1.56
No2.44
Yes3.45
No1.28
Yes2.60
No1.46
Yes2.96
No1.39
Yes18.00
No1.01
HandicapHomeDrawAway
-410.008.501.11
-36.005.501.30
-23.204.201.77
-11.953.852.90
+11.107.5013.00
Home -13.85
Away -11.91
Draw -12.95
Home -29.00
Draw -25.25
Away -21.22
Home +11.14
Draw +15.25
Away +117.00
ScoreOdds
0:030.00
0:129.00
0:255.00
0:3130.00
0:4260.00
0:5350.00
0:6375.00
1:011.00
1:111.00
1:220.00
1:357.00
1:4160.00
1:5300.00
2:08.60
2:17.80
2:215.00
2:341.00
2:4130.00
3:010.00
3:19.00
3:216.00
3:344.00
4:017.00
4:115.00
4:225.00
5:033.00
5:132.00
6:070.00
1:03.95
2:05.20
2:19.60
3:012.00
3:124.00
3:270.00
4:043.00
4:165.00
0:04.45
1:15.90
2:235.00
0:19.20
0:227.00
0:3100.00
1:222.00
1:385.00
2:3110.00
3:3140.00
0:4150.00
1:4150.00
2:4160.00
4:2120.00
0:5160.00
1:5160.00
2:5160.00
3:4160.00
5:0100.00
5:1130.00
5:2150.00
4:3160.00
3:5160.00
4:5160.00
5:3160.00
5:4160.00
4:4160.00
5:5160.00
1:04.33
2:05.75
2:18.00
3:010.00
3:113.00
3:234.00
4:023.00
4:134.00
0:06.25
1:16.50
2:223.00
0:19.00
0:223.00
0:371.00
1:217.00
1:356.00
2:367.00
3:3101.00
4:271.00
5:056.00
5:176.00
Draw4.00
1st Half3.05
2nd Half1.96
Home1.81
Draw2.82
Away5.90
Home1.38
Draw13.00
Away3.00
Home1.39
Draw30.00
Away3.10
Yes2.96
No1.37
Total GoalsUnderOver
1.53.451.29
2.51.801.97
3.51.263.65
Total GoalsUnderOver
0.52.761.45
1.51.333.10
2.51.058.40
Yes2.96
No1.39
Odd1.90
Even1.91
Odd2.02
Even1.80

Lineups

Brighton

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GB. Verbruggen
  • 2DT. LampteyAssistSubstitution72'
  • 29DJ. van Hecke
  • 3DIgor Julio
  • 30DP. Estupiñán
  • 14MG. RutterSubstitution88'
  • 33MM. O'RileySubstitution72'
  • 26MY. Ayari
  • 22MK. MitomaGoal
  • 18FD. WelbeckSubstitution79'
  • 9FJoão PedroSubstitution72'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 5DL. DunkSubstitution72'
  • 11FS. AdingraSubstitution72'
  • 27MM. WiefferSubstitution72'
  • 28FE. FergusonSubstitution79'
  • 17FY. MintehSubstitution88'
  • 10MJ. Enciso
  • 44DR. McConville
  • 53DJ. Slater
  • 23GJ. Steele
Coach IconF. HürzelerHead Coach
Southampton

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 13GJ. Lumley
  • 16DY. SugawaraSubstitution66'
  • 6DT. Harwood-Bellis
  • 5DJ. Stephens
  • 2DK. Walker-Peters
  • 3DR. Manning
  • 33MT. Dibling
  • 4MF. DownesGoalSubstitution66'
  • 18MMateus Fernandes
  • 9MA. ArmstrongSubstitution90'
  • 19FC. ArcherSubstitution88'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 24MR. FraserSubstitution66'
  • 7MJ. AriboSubstitution66'
  • 20MK. SulemanaSubstitution88'
  • 17FB. BreretonSubstitution90'
  • 12DR. Edwards
  • 27MS. Amo-Ameyaw
  • 1GA. McCarthy
  • 15DN. Wood-Gordon
  • 14DJ. Bree
Coach IconR. MartinHead Coach

Brighton vs Southampton - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Liverpool 13 11 1 1 26 8 18 34
2 Arsenal 13 7 4 2 26 14 12 25
3 Chelsea 13 7 4 2 26 14 12 25
4 Brighton 13 6 5 2 22 17 5 23
5 Manchester City 13 7 2 4 22 19 3 23
6 Nottingham Forest 13 6 4 3 16 13 3 22
7 Tottenham 13 6 2 5 28 14 14 20
8 Brentford 13 6 2 5 26 23 3 20
9 Manchester United 13 5 4 4 17 13 4 19
10 Fulham 13 5 4 4 18 18 0 19
11 Newcastle 13 5 4 4 14 14 0 19
12 Aston Villa 13 5 4 4 19 22 -3 19
13 Bournemouth 13 5 3 5 20 19 1 18
14 West Ham 14 4 3 7 18 27 -9 15
15 Leicester 14 3 4 7 19 28 -9 13
16 Crystal Palace 14 2 6 6 12 18 -6 12
17 Everton 13 2 5 6 10 21 -11 11
18 Wolves 13 2 3 8 22 32 -10 9
19 Ipswich 14 1 6 7 13 25 -12 9
20 Southampton 13 1 2 10 10 25 -15 5
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Brighton has won 3 times, while Southampton has secured 3 victories. 4 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 14 for Brighton and 13 for Southampton.

3
4
3
BrightonDrawsSouthampton
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
80%
8/10 Matches
Brighton Clean Sheets
0%
0/10 Matches
Southampton Clean Sheets
20%
2/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

29 Nov 2024Premier League
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
21 May 2023Premier League
Brighton3 - 1Southampton
26 Dec 2022Premier League
Southampton1 - 3Brighton
24 Apr 2022Premier League
Brighton2 - 2Southampton
04 Dec 2021Premier League
Southampton1 - 1Brighton
14 Mar 2021Premier League
Southampton1 - 2Brighton
07 Dec 2020Premier League
Brighton1 - 2Southampton
16 Jul 2020Premier League
Southampton1 - 1Brighton
24 Aug 2019Premier League
Brighton0 - 2Southampton
30 Mar 2019Premier League
Brighton0 - 1Southampton

Last matches: Brighton 1.50

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 4 (40%)D 3 (30%)L 3 (30%)
Premier League29/11/2024
Brighton
1 - 1
Southampton
Premier League23/11/2024
Bournemouth
1 - 2
Brighton
Premier League09/11/2024
Brighton
2 - 1
Manchester City
Premier League02/11/2024
Liverpool
2 - 1
Brighton
League Cup30/10/2024
Brighton
2 - 3
Liverpool
Premier League26/10/2024
Brighton
2 - 2
Wolves
Premier League19/10/2024
Newcastle
0 - 1
Brighton
Premier League06/10/2024
Brighton
3 - 2
Tottenham
Premier League28/09/2024
Chelsea
4 - 2
Brighton
Premier League22/09/2024
Brighton
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest

Last matches: Southampton 0.80

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 2 (20%)L 6 (60%)
Premier League29/11/2024
Brighton
1 - 1
Southampton
Premier League24/11/2024
Southampton
2 - 3
Liverpool
Premier League09/11/2024
Wolves
2 - 0
Southampton
Premier League02/11/2024
Southampton
1 - 0
Everton
League Cup29/10/2024
Southampton
3 - 2
Stoke City
Premier League26/10/2024
Manchester City
1 - 0
Southampton
Premier League19/10/2024
Southampton
2 - 3
Leicester
Premier League05/10/2024
Arsenal
3 - 1
Southampton
Premier League30/09/2024
Bournemouth
3 - 1
Southampton
Premier League21/09/2024
Southampton
1 - 1
Ipswich

Unknown Team vs Unknown Team - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

Unknown TeamGames: 12
Unknown TeamGames: 6

Matches

54%
Ball Possession
49%
481.42
Total passes
484.5
414.17
Passes accurate
423.67
86%
Passes %
87%
12
Fouls
11.17
2.33
Yellow Cards
3.33
0.08
Red Cards
0.33
5.25
Corner Kicks
3.67
1.33
Offsides
0.67

Attack

14.75
Total Shots
7.67
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.67
1.51
expected_goals
0.92
5.17
Shots off Goal
2.33
9.75
Shots insidebox
6.33
5
Shots outsidebox
1.33
4.92
Blocked Shots
1.67
1.67
Goals Scored
0.33

Defense

3
Goalkeeper Saves
5.33
1.33
Goals Conceded
0.67
0.25
goals_prevented
0
2
Clean Sheets
0
12
Fouls
11.17

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 51%
Draw 34%
Away 15%
Brighton Southampton
11% Clean Sheet 8%
92% Over 0.5 Goals 89%
57% Over 1.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams to Score 73%
Most Likely Scoreline 2-1
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.