Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction & betting tips – 30/12/2024

Home » Match Predictions » Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction & betting tips – 30/12/2024

Premier League - Regular Season - 19

30th Dec 24, 19:45
Villa Park

Aston Villa

WDLWL
2 : 2

HT: 1 - 1

Brighton

DDDDL
36' O. Watkins
47' M. Rogers (O. Watkins)
12' S. Adingra (João Pedro)
81' T. Lamptey (João Pedro)

Referee: C. Pawson

Who will win?

Aston Villa Aston Villa
0%
X
0%
Brighton Brighton
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Aston Villa and Brighton is set for December 30, 2024 at 7:45 PM. The venue for this encounter is Villa Park in Birmingham, England. C. Pawson has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Aston Villa is 47%. The probability of a draw between Aston Villa and Brighton is 29%. The probability of winning for Brighton is 24%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 72% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 28% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 69% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 31%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on May 5, 2024, where Aston Villa won against Brighton with a score of 0-1
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Aston Villa has emerged victorious 3 time(s), Brighton has claimed 1 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Aston Villa has averaged 2.4 goals per game, while Brighton has netted an average of 1.2 goals.
  • In the current Premier League standings, Aston Villa occupies the 9th spot, while Brighton sits in 10th place.
  • Aston Villa's performance in the Premier League this season shows 8 victories, 6 defeats, and 4 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.
  • Brighton has recorded 6 wins, 4 losses, and 8 draws in the Premier League this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.5 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.4 goals.
  • Examining Aston Villa's last five outings, they have won 4 times, lost 1 times and drawn 0 times. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
  • Brighton's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 0 times, lost 2 times and drawn 3 times. They have scored an average of 1 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Aston Villa is J. Durán, who has found the net 7 times this season.
  • D. Welbeck stands out as Brighton's most prolific scorer, having notched up 6 goals in the current campaign.
  • Aston Villa will be without the services of: M. Cash (Yellow Cards), J. Duran (Red Card), J. Ramsey (Hamstring Injury)
  • Brighton faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: E. Ferguson (Knock), J. Milner (Thigh Injury), J. Hinshelwood (Knee Injury), F. Kadioglu (Toe Injury), A. Webster (Muscle Injury), D. Welbeck (Ankle Injury), M. Wieffer (Injury)

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Aston Villa

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 23GE. Martínez
  • 4DE. Konsa
  • 3DDiego Carlos
  • 14DPau TorresSubstitution20'
  • 12DL. DigneSubstitution83'
  • 44MB. KamaraSubstitution83'
  • 8MY. TielemansSubstitution83'
  • 31ML. BaileySubstitution77'
  • 7MJ. McGinn
  • 27MM. RogersGoal
  • 11FO. WatkinsGoalAssist

SUBSTITUTES

  • 5DT. MingsSubstitution20'
  • 41MJ. RamseySubstitution77'
  • 24MA. OnanaSubstitution83'
  • 6MR. BarkleySubstitution83'
  • 22DI. MaatsenSubstitution83'
  • 19FJ. Philogene
  • 25GR. Olsen
  • 20DK. Nedeljković
  • 10ME. Buendía
Coach IconUnai EmeryHead Coach
Brighton

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GB. Verbruggen
  • 2DT. LampteyGoal
  • 29DJ. van Hecke
  • 5DL. Dunk
  • 3DIgor Julio
  • 20MC. BalebaSubstitution86'
  • 26MY. AyariSubstitution69'
  • 8MB. GrudaSubstitution58'
  • 10MJ. EncisoSubstitution58'
  • 11MS. AdingraGoalSubstitution58'
  • 9FJoão PedroAssistAssist

SUBSTITUTES

  • 17FY. MintehSubstitution58'
  • 14FG. RutterSubstitution58'
  • 22MK. MitomaSubstitution58'
  • 33MM. O'RileySubstitution69'
  • 15MJ. ModerSubstitution86'
  • 7MS. March
  • 34DJ. Veltman
  • 44DR. McConville
  • 23GJ. Steele
Coach IconF. HürzelerHead Coach

Aston Villa vs Brighton - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Liverpool 19 14 4 1 47 19 28 46
2 Arsenal 20 11 7 2 39 18 21 40
3 Nottingham Forest 20 12 4 4 29 19 10 40
4 Chelsea 20 10 6 4 39 24 15 36
5 Newcastle 20 10 5 5 34 22 12 35
6 Manchester City 20 10 4 6 36 27 9 34
7 Bournemouth 20 9 6 5 30 23 7 33
8 Aston Villa 20 9 5 6 30 32 -2 32
9 Fulham 20 7 9 4 30 27 3 30
10 Brighton 20 6 10 4 30 29 1 28
11 Brentford 20 8 3 9 38 35 3 27
12 Tottenham 20 7 3 10 42 30 12 24
13 Manchester United 20 6 5 9 23 28 -5 23
14 West Ham 20 6 5 9 24 39 -15 23
15 Crystal Palace 20 4 9 7 21 28 -7 21
16 Everton 19 3 8 8 15 25 -10 17
17 Wolves 20 4 4 12 31 45 -14 16
18 Ipswich 20 3 7 10 20 35 -15 16
19 Leicester 20 3 5 12 23 44 -21 14
20 Southampton 20 1 3 16 12 44 -32 6
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Aston Villa has won 5 times, while Brighton has secured 2 victories. 3 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 19 for Aston Villa and 10 for Brighton.

5
3
2
Aston VillaDrawsBrighton
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
60%
6/10 Matches
Aston Villa Clean Sheets
30%
3/10 Matches
Brighton Clean Sheets
20%
2/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

30 Dec 2024Premier League
Aston Villa2 - 2Brighton
05 May 2024Premier League
Brighton1 - 0Aston Villa
30 Sep 2023Premier League
Aston Villa6 - 1Brighton
28 May 2023Premier League
Aston Villa2 - 1Brighton
08 Dec 2022Friendlies Clubs
Aston Villa2 - 2Brighton
13 Nov 2022Premier League
Brighton1 - 2Aston Villa
26 Feb 2022Premier League
Brighton0 - 2Aston Villa
20 Nov 2021Premier League
Aston Villa2 - 0Brighton
13 Feb 2021Premier League
Brighton0 - 0Aston Villa
21 Nov 2020Premier League
Aston Villa1 - 2Brighton

Last matches: Aston Villa 1.90

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 6 (60%)D 1 (10%)L 3 (30%)
FA Cup10/01/2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
West Ham
Premier League04/01/2025
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leicester
Premier League30/12/2024
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton
Premier League26/12/2024
Newcastle
3 - 0
Aston Villa
Premier League21/12/2024
Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester City
Premier League14/12/2024
Nottingham Forest
2 - 1
Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League10/12/2024
RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Aston Villa
Premier League07/12/2024
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton
Premier League04/12/2024
Aston Villa
3 - 1
Brentford
Premier League01/12/2024
Chelsea
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Last matches: Brighton 1.20

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 6 (60%)L 2 (20%)
FA Cup11/01/2025
Norwich
0 - 4
Brighton
Premier League04/01/2025
Brighton
1 - 1
Arsenal
Premier League30/12/2024
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton
Premier League27/12/2024
Brighton
0 - 0
Brentford
Premier League21/12/2024
West Ham
1 - 1
Brighton
Premier League15/12/2024
Brighton
1 - 3
Crystal Palace
Premier League08/12/2024
Leicester
2 - 2
Brighton
Premier League05/12/2024
Fulham
3 - 1
Brighton
Premier League29/11/2024
Brighton
1 - 1
Southampton
Premier League23/11/2024
Bournemouth
1 - 2
Brighton

Unknown Team vs Unknown Team - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

Unknown TeamGames: 18
Unknown TeamGames: 11

Matches

50%
Ball Possession
51%
440.89
Total passes
452.64
378.61
Passes accurate
387.09
85%
Passes %
85%
11.67
Fouls
11.45
2.17
Yellow Cards
2.27
0.11
Red Cards
0.09
6.39
Corner Kicks
4.82
1.06
Offsides
1

Attack

12.56
Total Shots
14.91
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.73
1.56
expected_goals
1.33
4.78
Shots off Goal
5.18
8.94
Shots insidebox
9.18
3.61
Shots outsidebox
5.73
3.61
Blocked Shots
5
1.17
Goals Scored
0.73

Defense

2.5
Goalkeeper Saves
2.91
1.17
Goals Conceded
0.91
0.06
goals_prevented
0
2
Clean Sheets
0
11.67
Fouls
11.45

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 47%
Draw 31%
Away 22%
Aston Villa Brighton
10% Clean Sheet 12%
88% Over 0.5 Goals 90%
50% Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Both Teams to Score 72%
Most Likely Scoreline 2-2
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.