Sweden vs Estonia Prediction

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UEFA Nations League - League C - 2

8th Sep 24, 18:45
Strawberry Arena

Sweden

WWWDW
3 : 0

HT: 3 - 0

Estonia

LDLWL
30' V. Gyökeres
40' A. Isak
44' V. Gyökeres

Referee: S. Jablonski

Who will win?

Sweden Sweden
0%
X
0%
Estonia Estonia
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Preview

The upcoming match between Sweden and Estonia is set for September 8, 2024 at 6:45 PM. The venue for this encounter is Friends Arena in Solna, World. Sven Jablonski, Germany has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Sweden is 80%. The probability of a draw between Sweden and Estonia is 7%. The probability of winning for Estonia is 13%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 47% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 53% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 62% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 38%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on October 14, 2024, where Estonia won against Sweden with a score of 0-3
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Sweden has emerged victorious 5 time(s), Estonia has claimed 0 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Sweden has averaged 3 goals per game, while Estonia has netted an average of 0.2 goals.
  • Sweden's performance in the UEFA Nations League this season shows 3 victories, 0 defeats, and 1 draws. They've maintained an average of 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match.
  • Estonia has recorded 1 wins, 3 losses, and 0 draws in the UEFA Nations League this season. Their offensive output stands at 0.8 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 2 goals.
  • Examining Sweden's last five outings, they have won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
  • Estonia's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Sweden is V. Gyökeres, who has found the net 4 times this season.

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Sweden

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 12GV. Johansson
  • 2DA. Douglas
  • 4DI. Hien
  • 5DG. Gudmundsson
  • 16MN. Eliasson
  • 18MY. AyariSubstitution63'
  • 14MA. SalétrosSubstitution84'
  • 13MK. SemaSubstitution63'
  • 21FD. Kulusevski
  • 17FV. GyökeresGoalGoalSubstitution79'
  • 9FA. IsakGoalSubstitution79'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 8MJ. CajusteSubstitution63'
  • 22MS. NanasiSubstitution63'
  • 11FA. ElangaSubstitution79'
  • 10FG. NilssonSubstitution79'
  • 7ML. BergvallSubstitution84'
  • 20DE. Kurtulus
  • 6DL. Augustinsson
  • 15DC. Starfelt
  • 3DL. Wahlqvist
  • 19MM. Svanberg
  • 23GK. Nordfeldt
  • 1GJ. Widell Zetterström
Coach IconJ. TomassonHead Coach
Estonia

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 12GK. Hein
  • 13DM. Paskotši
  • 16DJ. Tamm
  • 18DK. Mets
  • 4DM. Schjønning-LarsenSubstitution59'
  • 17MM. MillerSubstitution83'
  • 10MK. Palumets
  • 5MR. SheinSubstitution59'
  • 23MV. SinyavskiySubstitution72'
  • 21FM. Vetkal
  • 15FR. SappinenSubstitution60'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 3DA. PikkSubstitution59'
  • 20MM. PoomSubstitution59'
  • 11FA. TammSubstitution60'
  • 14MP. KristalSubstitution72'
  • 19DM. LilanderSubstitution83'
  • 9FI. Yakovlev
  • 22GK. Vallner
  • 2DM. Kuusk
  • 6MM. Ainsalu
  • 1GM. Igonen
  • 8MD. Kuraksin
  • 7FR. Saarma
Coach IconJ. HennHead Coach

Sweden vs Estonia - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Sweden 6 5 1 0 19 4 15 16
2 Slovakia 6 4 1 1 10 5 5 13
3 Estonia 6 1 1 4 3 9 -6 4
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3 17 -14 1

Head to head

These teams have met 6 times in recent seasons. Sweden has won 6 times, while Estonia has secured 0 victories. 0 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 16 for Sweden and 1 for Estonia.

6
0
0
SwedenDrawsEstonia
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
5/6 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4/6 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
1/6 Matches
Both Teams Scored
17%
1/6 Matches
Sweden Clean Sheets
83%
5/6 Matches
Estonia Clean Sheets
0%
0/6 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

14 Oct 2024UEFA Nations League
Estonia0 - 3Sweden
08 Sep 2024UEFA Nations League
Sweden3 - 0Estonia
12 Jan 2024Friendlies
Sweden2 - 1Estonia
19 Nov 2023Euro Championship - Qualification
Sweden2 - 0Estonia
09 Sep 2023Euro Championship - Qualification
Estonia0 - 5Sweden
31 Mar 2021Friendlies
Sweden1 - 0Estonia

Last matches: Sweden 1.90

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 6 (60%)D 1 (10%)L 3 (30%)
UEFA Nations League19/11/2024
Sweden
6 - 0
Azerbaijan
UEFA Nations League16/11/2024
Sweden
2 - 1
Slovakia
UEFA Nations League14/10/2024
Estonia
0 - 3
Sweden
UEFA Nations League11/10/2024
Slovakia
2 - 2
Sweden
UEFA Nations League08/09/2024
Sweden
3 - 0
Estonia
UEFA Nations League05/09/2024
Azerbaijan
1 - 3
Sweden
Friendlies08/06/2024
Sweden
0 - 3
Serbia
Friendlies05/06/2024
Denmark
2 - 1
Sweden
Friendlies25/03/2024
Sweden
1 - 0
Albania
Friendlies21/03/2024
Portugal
5 - 2
Sweden

Last matches: Estonia 0.80

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 2 (20%)L 6 (60%)
UEFA Nations League19/11/2024
Slovakia
1 - 0
Estonia
UEFA Nations League16/11/2024
Azerbaijan
0 - 0
Estonia
UEFA Nations League14/10/2024
Estonia
0 - 3
Sweden
UEFA Nations League11/10/2024
Estonia
3 - 1
Azerbaijan
UEFA Nations League08/09/2024
Sweden
3 - 0
Estonia
UEFA Nations League05/09/2024
Estonia
0 - 1
Slovakia
Baltic Cup11/06/2024
Lithuania
1 - 1
Estonia
Baltic Cup08/06/2024
Estonia
4 - 1
Faroe Islands
Friendlies04/06/2024
Switzerland
4 - 0
Estonia
Friendlies26/03/2024
Finland
2 - 1
Estonia

Sweden vs Estonia - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

SwedenGames: 6
EstoniaGames: 3

Matches

65%
Ball Possession
37%
554.33
Total passes
342.67
464
Passes accurate
269
83%
Passes %
77%
13.67
Fouls
13.33
1.83
Yellow Cards
2.67
0
Red Cards
0
9.17
Corner Kicks
2.33
1.33
Offsides
1.67

Attack

25.33
Total Shots
6.67
10.33
Shots on Goal
1.67
0
expected_goals
0
7.33
Shots off Goal
2.33
17
Shots insidebox
3
8.33
Shots outsidebox
3.67
7.67
Blocked Shots
2.67
2.17
Goals Scored
1

Defense

2.83
Goalkeeper Saves
6
0.67
Goals Conceded
0.67
0
goals_prevented
0
2
Clean Sheets
1
13.67
Fouls
13.33

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 83%
Draw 9%
Away 8%
Sweden Estonia
56% Clean Sheet 6%
94% Over 0.5 Goals 44%
70% Over 1.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams to Score 56%
Most Likely Scoreline 4-0
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%

Sweden vs Estonia Match Preview

Match Information

  • Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
  • Time: 19:45 UTC+1 / 20:45 CEST
  • Competition: UEFA Nations League C
  • Venue: Friends Arena, Solna, Sweden

Head to Head

They have played each other a total of 5 times in the past, with Sweden leading the head-to-head record 4-1. The last two competitive matches came in Euro Qualification, with Sweden winning 2-0 and 5-0, respectively.

Recent Form

Sweden

It was Sweden that came into this match on the back of a surprising 3-1 away win over Azerbaijan in their Nations League opener, spearheaded by a brace from Alexander Isak and a goal from Viktor Gyokeres. In recent friendlies, though, Sweden had mixed results: a 1-0 victory against Albania immediately followed by a 3-0 loss to Serbia.

Estonia

Their first match in the Nations League saw them lose 1-0 at home to Slovakia, a game in which they hardly created any opportunities, managing just 0.16 expected goals. Estonia have been in very poor form of late, losing 8 of their last 10 competitive outings, including a 5-1 defeat to Poland in their Euro 2024 playoff semi-final.

Key Stats

Sweden have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
Sweden, on the other hand, averaged 52.6% Ball Possession, with an average of 6.7 corners per match in their recent competitive games.
For their part, Estonia have averaged just 1.5 shots on target and 0.3 goals per game in their last 10 competitive matches.
Alexander Isak of Sweden has scored 3 goals in his last 5 national appearances.

Predicted Lineups

Sweden

Johansson; Egnell, Douglas, Hien, Augustinsson; Bergvall, Saletros; Kulusevski, Isak, Sema; Gyokeres

Estonia

Hein; Lilander, Tamm, Mets, Schjonning-Larsen; Miller, Ainsalu, Shein, Sinyavskiy, Sappinen; Yakovlev

Prediction

Given the gap in quality between Sweden and the current poor form of Estonia, a home win with ease is the easiest prediction I can give. My forecast is Sweden 3-0 Estonia.

Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.