Croatia vs Poland Prediction

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UEFA Nations League - League A - 2

8th Sep 24, 18:45
Opus Arena

Croatia

LDWWL
1 : 0

HT: 0 - 0

Poland

LDLLW
52' L. Modrić

Referee: François Letexier, France

Who will win?

Croatia Croatia
0%
X
0%
Poland Poland
0%

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What is the prediction for the football match between Croatia and Poland?

Our prediction for the Croatia vs Poland match is: Croatia to win.

Our advanced algorithm estimates a probability of 35% for a win of Croatia against Poland

The probability for a draw between Croatia vs Poland is 35%

Our prediction model gives a 30% chance for a win of Poland vs Croatia

Match Preview

The upcoming match between Croatia and Poland is set for September 8, 2024 at 6:45 PM. The venue for this encounter is Opus Arena in Osijek, World. François Letexier, France has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Croatia is 60%. The probability of a draw between Croatia and Poland is 25%. The probability of winning for Poland is 14%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 65% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 35% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 62% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 38%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on October 15, 2024, where Poland and Croatia drew with a score of 3-3
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Croatia has emerged victorious 2 time(s), Poland has claimed 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Croatia has averaged 1 goals per game, while Poland has netted an average of 0.6 goals.
  • In the current UEFA Nations League standings, Croatia occupies the 2nd spot, while Poland sits in 3rd place.
  • Croatia's performance in the UEFA Nations League this season shows 2 victories, 1 defeats, and 1 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match.
  • Poland has recorded 1 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draws in the UEFA Nations League this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.8 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 2.3 goals.
  • Poland's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 2 goals.

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Croatia

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GD. Livaković
  • 6DJ. Šutalo
  • 5DD. Ćaleta-Car
  • 4DJ. Gvardiol
  • 20MM. Pjaca
  • 10ML. ModrićGoal
  • 8MM. KovačićSubstitution79'
  • 13MP. SučićSubstitution46'
  • 19MB. SosaSubstitution90'
  • 22FI. MatanovićSubstitution69'
  • 17FB. PetkovićSubstitution69'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 21ML. SučićSubstitution46'
  • 9FA. KramarićSubstitution69'
  • 11FA. BudimirSubstitution69'
  • 15MM. PašalićSubstitution79'
  • 14FI. PerišićSubstitution90'
  • 18FL. Ivanušec
  • 2MK. Jakić
  • 16MM. Baturina
  • 12GN. Labrović
  • 3DM. Pongračić
  • 23GD. Kotarski
  • 7MN. Moro
Coach IconZ. DalićHead Coach
Poland

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GŁ. Skorupski
  • 13DJ. KamińskiSubstitution82'
  • 4DS. Walukiewicz
  • 5DJ. Bednarek
  • 3DP. Dawidowicz
  • 21DN. Zalewski
  • 7MK. UrbańskiSubstitution62'
  • 10MP. ZielińskiSubstitution62'
  • 20MS. SzymańskiSubstitution86'
  • 16FM. BoguszSubstitution62'
  • 9FR. Lewandowski

SUBSTITUTES

  • 8MJ. ModerSubstitution62'
  • 11FK. ŚwiderskiSubstitution62'
  • 17MB. SliszSubstitution62'
  • 19MP. FrankowskiSubstitution82'
  • 6MJ. PiotrowskiSubstitution86'
  • 23FK. Piątek
  • 15DT. Puchacz
  • 2DK. Piątkowski
  • 14DJ. Kiwior
  • 18DB. Bereszyński
  • 22GB. Drągowski
  • 12GM. Bułka
Coach IconM. ProbierzHead Coach

Croatia vs Poland - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Portugal 5 4 1 0 12 4 8 13
2 Croatia 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
3 Poland 5 1 1 3 8 14 -6 4
4 Scotland 5 1 1 3 5 7 -2 4

Head to head

These teams have met 3 times in recent seasons. Croatia has won 2 times, while Poland has secured 0 victories. 1 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 5 for Croatia and 3 for Poland.

2
1
0
CroatiaDrawsPoland
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1/3 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1/3 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
1/3 Matches
Both Teams Scored
33%
1/3 Matches
Croatia Clean Sheets
67%
2/3 Matches
Poland Clean Sheets
0%
0/3 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

15 Oct 2024UEFA Nations League
Poland3 - 3Croatia
08 Sep 2024UEFA Nations League
Croatia1 - 0Poland
16 Jun 2008Euro Championship
Poland0 - 1Croatia

Last matches: Croatia 1.50

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 4 (40%)D 3 (30%)L 3 (30%)
UEFA Nations League15/11/2024
Scotland
1 - 0
Croatia
UEFA Nations League15/10/2024
Poland
3 - 3
Croatia
UEFA Nations League12/10/2024
Croatia
2 - 1
Scotland
UEFA Nations League08/09/2024
Croatia
1 - 0
Poland
UEFA Nations League05/09/2024
Portugal
2 - 1
Croatia
Euro Championship24/06/2024
Croatia
1 - 1
Italy
Euro Championship19/06/2024
Croatia
2 - 2
Albania
Euro Championship15/06/2024
Spain
3 - 0
Croatia
Friendlies08/06/2024
Portugal
1 - 2
Croatia
Friendlies03/06/2024
Croatia
3 - 0
FYR Macedonia

Last matches: Poland 1.10

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 3 (30%)D 2 (20%)L 5 (50%)
UEFA Nations League15/11/2024
Portugal
5 - 1
Poland
UEFA Nations League15/10/2024
Poland
3 - 3
Croatia
UEFA Nations League12/10/2024
Poland
1 - 3
Portugal
UEFA Nations League08/09/2024
Croatia
1 - 0
Poland
UEFA Nations League05/09/2024
Scotland
2 - 3
Poland
Euro Championship25/06/2024
France
1 - 1
Poland
Euro Championship21/06/2024
Poland
1 - 3
Austria
Euro Championship16/06/2024
Poland
1 - 2
Netherlands
Friendlies10/06/2024
Poland
2 - 1
Türkiye
Friendlies07/06/2024
Poland
3 - 1
Ukraine

Croatia vs Poland - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

CroatiaGames: 5
PolandGames: 5

Matches

52%
Ball Possession
40%
539.2
Total passes
381
483.4
Passes accurate
326
89%
Passes %
85%
9
Fouls
13.4
3
Yellow Cards
2
0.4
Red Cards
0
5.6
Corner Kicks
3.6
1.6
Offsides
1.2

Attack

16
Total Shots
11.8
5.6
Shots on Goal
4
0
expected_goals
0
6.6
Shots off Goal
5.4
9.4
Shots insidebox
6.2
6.6
Shots outsidebox
5.6
3.8
Blocked Shots
2.4
1.4
Goals Scored
1.6

Defense

2.2
Goalkeeper Saves
3.2
1.4
Goals Conceded
2.8
0
goals_prevented
0
1
Clean Sheets
0
9
Fouls
13.4

Croatia vs Poland Predictions

Main Prediction
Combo Double chance : Croatia or draw and +1.5 goals
Winner
Croatia
Goals Over/Under
+1.5
Croatia Goals
-1.5
Poland Goals
-3.5

Match Information

Date: Sunday, 8th September 2024
Time: 7:45 PM UK, 12:15 AM IST
Competition: UEFA Nations League A, Group 1
Venue: Opus Arena, Osijek, Croatia

Head-to-Head

Croatia and Poland have faced each other 5 times in the past, with Croatia winning 3 of those encounters, Poland winning 1, and 1 match ending in a draw. The last time these two teams met was back in the 2008 European Championships, where Croatia emerged victorious with a 1-0 scoreline.

Recent Form

Croatia come into this match on the back of a disappointing 2-1 defeat against Portugal in their opening Nations League fixture. Prior to that, they had a mixed bag of results at the European Championships, getting eliminated in the group stage after picking up just 2 points.

On the other hand, Poland secured a thrilling 3-2 victory over Scotland in their first Nations League match. Under new manager Michał Probierz, Poland have shown signs of improvement, but their recent record is still a bit inconsistent, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 matches.

Key Stats

  • Croatia have failed to win any of their last 4 matches, drawing 2 and losing 2.
  • Poland have seen both teams score in 9 of their last 11 matches.
  • 6 of Poland’s last 8 matches have seen at least 3 goals scored.
  • Luka Modrić has scored in 2 of Croatia’s last 4 games.
  • Robert Lewandowski has scored 4 goals in 4 matches for Barcelona this season and will be looking to continue his fine form for Poland.

Predicted Lineups

Croatia (4-3-3): Livakovic; Caleta-Car, Sutalo, Gvardiol, Sosa; Modrić, Sušić, Kovačić; Pasalić, Kramarić, Matanović

Poland (3-5-2): Skorupski; Bednarek, Dawidowicz, Walukiewicz; Frankowski, Szymański, Zieliński, Urbański, Zalewski; Piątek, Lewandowski

Predictions

This promises to be an intriguing encounter between two teams looking to bounce back from contrasting results in their opening Nations League matches.

Croatia will be desperate to get their first points on the board, while Poland will be aiming to build on their victory over Scotland. With both teams possessing attacking talent, I expect this match to be an entertaining affair with goals at both ends.

My prediction is a 2-2 draw, with Luka Modrić and Robert Lewandowski both getting on the scoresheet.

Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.