Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 3
Arouca
HT: 1 - 0
Nacional
Referee: Sérgio Guelho
Who will win?
What is the prediction for the football match between Arouca and Nacional?
Our prediction for the Arouca vs Nacional match is: Arouca to win.
Our advanced algorithm estimates a probability of 35% for a win of Arouca against Nacional
The probability for a draw between Arouca vs Nacional is 35%
Our prediction model gives a 30% chance for a win of Nacional vs Arouca
Match Preview
The upcoming match between Arouca and Nacional is set for August 25, 2024 at 2:30 PM. The venue for this encounter is Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Arouca, Portugal. Sérgio Guelho has been appointed as the referee for this match.
- The probability of winning for Arouca is 39%. The probability of a draw between Arouca and Nacional is 40%. The probability of winning for Nacional is 21%.
- Our calculations suggest a 64% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 36% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
- There's a 15% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 85%.
- The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on August 25, 2024, where Arouca won against Nacional with a score of 1-0
- Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Arouca has emerged victorious 2 time(s), Nacional has claimed 1 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Arouca has averaged 1.2 goals per game, while Nacional has netted an average of 0.8 goals.
- In the current Primeira Liga standings, Arouca occupies the 13th spot, while Nacional sits in 17th place.
- Arouca's performance in the Primeira Liga this season shows 2 victories, 5 defeats, and 1 draws. They've maintained an average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.
- Nacional has recorded 1 wins, 4 losses, and 2 draws in the Primeira Liga this season. Their offensive output stands at 0.6 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.7 goals.
- Examining Arouca's last five outings, they have won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
- Nacional's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
Odds data not available.
Lineups
STARTING LINEUPS
- 58GN. Mantl
- 28DTiago Esgaio
- 4DM. Rocha
- 73DChico Lamba
- 26DWeverson
- 21MT. Fukui
- 5MDavid Simão79'
- 10MJason61'
- 23MCristo González
- 2MM. Sylla70'
- 39FHenrique Araújo79'
SUBSTITUTES
- 19FA. Trezza61'
- 7FIvo Rodrigues70'
- 9FV. Morozov79'
- 89MPedro Santos79'
- 11FMiguel Puche
- 78DAlex Pinto
- 14MOriol Busquets
- 22MPablo Gozálbez
- 1GJoão Valido
STARTING LINEUPS
- 37GLucas França
- 22DGustavo Garcia
- 4DUlisses
- 38DZé Vitor
- 5DJosé Gomes87'
- 10MLuís Esteves
- 88MMatheus Dias
- 8MBruno Costa46'
- 11FN. Thomas78'
- 9FAdrián Butzke56'
- 7FRúben Macedo46'
SUBSTITUTES
- 70FA. Appiah46'
- 19MMiguel Baeza46'
- 72FTiago Reis56'
- 23FIsaac78'
- 17MDaniel Penha87'
- 25DAfonso de Freitas
- 33DFrancisco Gonçalves
- 18MAndré Sousa
- 1GRui Encarnação
Arouca vs Nacional - Standings
# | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | +/- | PTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sporting CP | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | FC Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | SC Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Guimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | Famalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | Moreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | Boavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Arouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
17 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
18 | Farense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
Head to head
These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Arouca has won 3 times, while Nacional has secured 2 victories. 5 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 15 for Arouca and 12 for Nacional.
Past H2H Results & Fixtures
Last matches: Arouca 1.10
Statistics are for the last 10 games
Last matches: Nacional 0.70
Statistics are for the last 10 games
Arouca vs Nacional - Per Match Stats
This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.