Arouca vs Nacional Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Home » Football Predictions » Liga Portugal Predictions » Arouca vs Nacional Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Primeira Liga - Regular Season - 3

25th Aug 24, 14:30
Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca

DLLWD
1 : 0

HT: 1 - 0

Nacional

LWLLL
27' Henrique Araújo (Cristo González)

Referee: Sérgio Guelho

Who will win?

Arouca Arouca
0%
X
0%
Nacional Nacional
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

What is the prediction for the football match between Arouca and Nacional?

Our prediction for the Arouca vs Nacional match is: Arouca to win.

Our advanced algorithm estimates a probability of 35% for a win of Arouca against Nacional

The probability for a draw between Arouca vs Nacional is 35%

Our prediction model gives a 30% chance for a win of Nacional vs Arouca

Match Preview

The upcoming match between Arouca and Nacional is set for August 25, 2024 at 2:30 PM. The venue for this encounter is Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Arouca, Portugal. Sérgio Guelho has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Arouca is 39%. The probability of a draw between Arouca and Nacional is 40%. The probability of winning for Nacional is 21%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 64% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 36% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 15% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 85%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on August 25, 2024, where Arouca won against Nacional with a score of 1-0
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Arouca has emerged victorious 2 time(s), Nacional has claimed 1 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Arouca has averaged 1.2 goals per game, while Nacional has netted an average of 0.8 goals.
  • In the current Primeira Liga standings, Arouca occupies the 13th spot, while Nacional sits in 17th place.
  • Arouca's performance in the Primeira Liga this season shows 2 victories, 5 defeats, and 1 draws. They've maintained an average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.
  • Nacional has recorded 1 wins, 4 losses, and 2 draws in the Primeira Liga this season. Their offensive output stands at 0.6 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.7 goals.
  • Examining Arouca's last five outings, they have won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
  • Nacional's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 0.6 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Arouca

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 58GN. Mantl
  • 28DTiago Esgaio
  • 4DM. Rocha
  • 73DChico Lamba
  • 26DWeverson
  • 21MT. Fukui
  • 5MDavid SimãoSubstitution79'
  • 10MJasonSubstitution61'
  • 23MCristo GonzálezAssist
  • 2MM. SyllaSubstitution70'
  • 39FHenrique AraújoGoalSubstitution79'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 19FA. TrezzaSubstitution61'
  • 7FIvo RodriguesSubstitution70'
  • 9FV. MorozovSubstitution79'
  • 89MPedro SantosSubstitution79'
  • 11FMiguel Puche
  • 78DAlex Pinto
  • 14MOriol Busquets
  • 22MPablo Gozálbez
  • 1GJoão Valido
Coach IconGonzalo GarcíaHead Coach
Nacional

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 37GLucas França
  • 22DGustavo Garcia
  • 4DUlisses
  • 38DZé Vitor
  • 5DJosé GomesSubstitution87'
  • 10MLuís Esteves
  • 88MMatheus Dias
  • 8MBruno CostaSubstitution46'
  • 11FN. ThomasSubstitution78'
  • 9FAdrián ButzkeSubstitution56'
  • 7FRúben MacedoSubstitution46'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 70FA. AppiahSubstitution46'
  • 19MMiguel BaezaSubstitution46'
  • 72FTiago ReisSubstitution56'
  • 23FIsaacSubstitution78'
  • 17MDaniel PenhaSubstitution87'
  • 25DAfonso de Freitas
  • 33DFrancisco Gonçalves
  • 18MAndré Sousa
  • 1GRui Encarnação
Coach IconTiago MargaridoHead Coach

Arouca vs Nacional - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Sporting CP 11 11 0 0 39 5 34 33
2 FC Porto 11 9 0 2 28 8 20 27
3 Benfica 10 8 1 1 28 7 21 25
4 Santa Clara 11 7 0 4 14 12 2 21
5 SC Braga 11 6 2 3 19 11 8 20
6 Guimaraes 11 5 3 3 12 11 1 18
7 Famalicao 11 4 5 2 12 9 3 17
8 Moreirense 11 5 2 4 15 14 1 17
9 Casa Pia 11 3 4 4 10 14 -4 13
10 Rio Ave 11 3 3 5 10 20 -10 12
11 GIL Vicente 11 2 4 5 14 19 -5 10
12 Estoril 11 2 4 5 8 16 -8 10
13 AVS 11 2 4 5 9 19 -10 10
14 Boavista 11 2 3 6 7 15 -8 9
15 Estrela 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
16 Arouca 11 2 2 7 6 19 -13 8
17 Nacional 10 2 2 6 6 15 -9 8
18 Farense 11 1 2 8 5 18 -13 5
Champions LeagueEuropa League QualificationConference League QualificationRelegation PlayoffRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Arouca has won 3 times, while Nacional has secured 2 victories. 5 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 15 for Arouca and 12 for Nacional.

3
5
2
AroucaDrawsNacional
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
50%
5/10 Matches
Arouca Clean Sheets
30%
3/10 Matches
Nacional Clean Sheets
20%
2/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

25 Aug 2024Primeira Liga
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
06 May 2018Segunda Liga
Arouca0 - 1Nacional
22 Dec 2017Segunda Liga
Nacional2 - 2Arouca
28 Jan 2017Primeira Liga
Nacional1 - 1Arouca
21 Aug 2016Primeira Liga
Arouca2 - 0Nacional
01 May 2016Primeira Liga
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
02 Jan 2016Primeira Liga
Nacional2 - 2Arouca
08 Feb 2015Primeira Liga
Arouca3 - 3Nacional
31 Aug 2014Primeira Liga
Nacional2 - 0Arouca
16 Feb 2014Primeira Liga
Arouca1 - 1Nacional

Last matches: Arouca 1.10

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 3 (30%)D 2 (20%)L 5 (50%)
Primeira Liga09/11/2024
Famalicao
0 - 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga03/11/2024
Arouca
1 - 2
SC Braga
Primeira Liga26/10/2024
Estoril
4 - 1
Arouca
Taça de Portugal20/10/2024
Maria da Fonte
0 - 5
Arouca
Primeira Liga05/10/2024
Arouca
1 - 1
AVS
Primeira Liga29/09/2024
FC Porto
4 - 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga22/09/2024
Farense
0 - 1
Arouca
Primeira Liga13/09/2024
Arouca
0 - 3
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga01/09/2024
Rio Ave
1 - 0
Arouca
Primeira Liga25/08/2024
Arouca
1 - 0
Nacional

Last matches: Nacional 0.70

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 1 (10%)L 7 (70%)
Primeira Liga10/11/2024
Estrela
2 - 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga04/11/2024
Nacional
2 - 0
Santa Clara
Taça da Liga29/10/2024
Sporting CP
3 - 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga25/10/2024
Casa Pia
1 - 0
Nacional
Taça de Portugal20/10/2024
União de Leiria
2 - 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga29/09/2024
Famalicao
0 - 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga20/09/2024
Nacional
0 - 3
SC Braga
Primeira Liga15/09/2024
Estoril
1 - 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga01/09/2024
Nacional
2 - 0
Farense
Primeira Liga25/08/2024
Arouca
1 - 0
Nacional

Arouca vs Nacional - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

AroucaGames: 11
NacionalGames: 5

Matches

54%
Ball Possession
43%
454
Total passes
322.8
381.36
Passes accurate
252.2
83%
Passes %
77%
12.91
Fouls
13.6
3.18
Yellow Cards
2.4
0.18
Red Cards
0
6.55
Corner Kicks
4.6
1.64
Offsides
2

Attack

10.36
Total Shots
12.4
2.36
Shots on Goal
3.8
0.86
expected_goals
0.93
4.91
Shots off Goal
7
6
Shots insidebox
7.2
4.36
Shots outsidebox
5.2
3.09
Blocked Shots
1.6
0.55
Goals Scored
0.4

Defense

2.73
Goalkeeper Saves
3.6
1.73
Goals Conceded
2.2
0
goals_prevented
0.2
2
Clean Sheets
0
12.91
Fouls
13.6

Arouca vs Nacional Predictions

Main Prediction
Double chance : Arouca or draw
Winner
Arouca
Arouca Goals
-1.5
Nacional Goals
-1.5
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.