UEFA Nations League - League C - 2
Sweden
HT: 3 - 0
Estonia
Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany
Who will win?
What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Estonia?
Our prediction for the Sweden vs Estonia match is: Sweden to win.
Our advanced algorithm estimates a probability of 45% for a win of Sweden against Estonia
The probability for a draw between Sweden vs Estonia is 45%
Our prediction model gives a 10% chance for a win of Estonia vs Sweden
Match Preview
The upcoming match between Sweden and Estonia is set for September 8, 2024 at 6:45 PM. The venue for this encounter is Friends Arena in Solna, World. Sven Jablonski, Germany has been appointed as the referee for this match.
- The probability of winning for Sweden is 80%. The probability of a draw between Sweden and Estonia is 7%. The probability of winning for Estonia is 13%.
- Our calculations suggest a 47% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 53% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
- There's a 62% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 38%.
- The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on October 14, 2024, where Estonia won against Sweden with a score of 0-3
- Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Sweden has emerged victorious 5 time(s), Estonia has claimed 0 win(s), and 0 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Sweden has averaged 3 goals per game, while Estonia has netted an average of 0.2 goals.
- Sweden's performance in the UEFA Nations League this season shows 3 victories, 0 defeats, and 1 draws. They've maintained an average of 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match.
- Estonia has recorded 1 wins, 3 losses, and 0 draws in the UEFA Nations League this season. Their offensive output stands at 0.8 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 2 goals.
- Examining Sweden's last five outings, they have won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
- Estonia's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.
- Leading the goal-scoring charts for Sweden is V. Gyökeres, who has found the net 4 times this season.
Odds data not available.
Lineups
STARTING LINEUPS
- 12GV. Johansson
- 2DA. Douglas
- 4DI. Hien
- 5DG. Gudmundsson
- 16MN. Eliasson
- 18MY. Ayari63'
- 14MA. Salétros84'
- 13MK. Sema63'
- 21FD. Kulusevski
- 17FV. Gyökeres79'
- 9FA. Isak79'
SUBSTITUTES
- 8MJ. Cajuste63'
- 22MS. Nanasi63'
- 11FA. Elanga79'
- 10FG. Nilsson79'
- 7ML. Bergvall84'
- 20DE. Kurtulus
- 6DL. Augustinsson
- 15DC. Starfelt
- 3DL. Wahlqvist
- 19MM. Svanberg
- 23GK. Nordfeldt
- 1GJ. Widell Zetterström
STARTING LINEUPS
- 12GK. Hein
- 13DM. Paskotši
- 16DJ. Tamm
- 18DK. Mets
- 4DM. Schjønning-Larsen59'
- 17MM. Miller83'
- 10MK. Palumets
- 5MR. Shein59'
- 23MV. Sinyavskiy72'
- 21FM. Vetkal
- 15FR. Sappinen60'
SUBSTITUTES
- 3DA. Pikk59'
- 20MM. Poom59'
- 11FA. Tamm60'
- 14MP. Kristal72'
- 19DM. Lilander83'
- 9FI. Yakovlev
- 22GK. Vallner
- 2DM. Kuusk
- 6MM. Ainsalu
- 1GM. Igonen
- 8MD. Kuraksin
- 7FR. Saarma
Standings data not available.
Head to head
These teams have met 6 times in recent seasons. Sweden has won 6 times, while Estonia has secured 0 victories. 0 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 16 for Sweden and 1 for Estonia.
Past H2H Results & Fixtures
Last matches: Sweden 1.90
Statistics are for the last 10 games
Last matches: Estonia 0.80
Statistics are for the last 10 games
Sweden vs Estonia - Per Match Stats
This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.
Matches
Attack
Defense
Sweden vs Estonia Predictions
Sweden vs Estonia Match Preview
Match Information
- Date: Sunday, September 8th, 2024
- Time: 19:45 UTC+1 / 20:45 CEST
- Competition: UEFA Nations League C
- Venue: Friends Arena, Solna, Sweden
Head to Head
They have played each other a total of 5 times in the past, with Sweden leading the head-to-head record 4-1. The last two competitive matches came in Euro Qualification, with Sweden winning 2-0 and 5-0, respectively.
Recent Form
Sweden
It was Sweden that came into this match on the back of a surprising 3-1 away win over Azerbaijan in their Nations League opener, spearheaded by a brace from Alexander Isak and a goal from Viktor Gyokeres. In recent friendlies, though, Sweden had mixed results: a 1-0 victory against Albania immediately followed by a 3-0 loss to Serbia.
Estonia
Their first match in the Nations League saw them lose 1-0 at home to Slovakia, a game in which they hardly created any opportunities, managing just 0.16 expected goals. Estonia have been in very poor form of late, losing 8 of their last 10 competitive outings, including a 5-1 defeat to Poland in their Euro 2024 playoff semi-final.
Key Stats
Sweden have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
Sweden, on the other hand, averaged 52.6% Ball Possession, with an average of 6.7 corners per match in their recent competitive games.
For their part, Estonia have averaged just 1.5 shots on target and 0.3 goals per game in their last 10 competitive matches.
Alexander Isak of Sweden has scored 3 goals in his last 5 national appearances.
Predicted Lineups
Sweden
Johansson; Egnell, Douglas, Hien, Augustinsson; Bergvall, Saletros; Kulusevski, Isak, Sema; Gyokeres
Estonia
Hein; Lilander, Tamm, Mets, Schjonning-Larsen; Miller, Ainsalu, Shein, Sinyavskiy, Sappinen; Yakovlev
Prediction
Given the gap in quality between Sweden and the current poor form of Estonia, a home win with ease is the easiest prediction I can give. My forecast is Sweden 3-0 Estonia.