Valencia vs Real Madrid prediction & betting tips – 03/01/2025

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La Liga - Regular Season - 12

3rd Jan 25, 20:00
Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia

WDWLD
1 : 2

HT: 1 - 0

Real Madrid

27' Hugo Duro
85' L. Modrić (J. Bellingham)
90+6' J. Bellingham

Referee: César Soto

Who will win?

Valencia Valencia
0%
X
0%
Real Madrid Real Madrid
0%
0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Valencia and Real Madrid is set for January 3, 2025 at 8:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain.

  • The probability of winning for Valencia is 15%. The probability of a draw between Valencia and Real Madrid is 25%. The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 60%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 72% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 28% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 71% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 29%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on March 2, 2024, where Valencia and Real Madrid drew with a score of 2-2
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Valencia has emerged victorious 1 time(s), Real Madrid has claimed 2 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Valencia has averaged 1 goals per game, while Real Madrid has netted an average of 2 goals.
  • In the current La Liga standings, Valencia occupies the 19th spot, while Real Madrid sits in 2nd place.
  • Valencia's performance in the La Liga this season shows 2 victories, 9 defeats, and 6 draws. They've maintained an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match.
  • Real Madrid has recorded 12 wins, 2 losses, and 4 draws in the La Liga this season. Their offensive output stands at 2.3 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1 goals.
  • Examining Valencia's last five outings, they have won 1 times, lost 2 times and drawn 2 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.
  • Real Madrid's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 4 times, lost 0 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 3.2 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.
  • Kylian Mbappé stands out as Real Madrid's most prolific scorer, having notched up 10 goals in the current campaign.
  • Valencia will be without the services of: T. Correia (Knee Injury), M. Diakhaby (Knee Injury), J. Gaya (Muscle Injury), G. Mamardashvili (Leg Injury), R. Mir (Muscle Injury), Pepelu (Yellow Cards), F. Perez (Hamstring Injury)
  • Real Madrid faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: D. Alaba (Knee Injury), D. Carvajal (Knee Injury), E. Militao (Knee Injury)

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Valencia

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 13GS. Dimitrievski
  • 20DD. Foulquier
  • 15DCésar Tárrega
  • 3DCristhian Mosquera
  • 24DYarek GąsiorowskiSubstitution88'
  • 16MDiego LópezSubstitution67'
  • 8MJavi GuerraSubstitution68'
  • 5ME. Barrenechea
  • 22MLuis Rioja
  • 10FAndré AlmeidaSubstitution88'
  • 9FHugo DuroGoal

SUBSTITUTES

  • 7MSergi CanósSubstitution67'
  • 6DHugo GuillamónSubstitution68'
  • 21DJesús VázquezSubstitution88'
  • 17FDani GómezSubstitution88'
  • 32MMartín Tejón
  • 1GJaume Doménech
  • 2DM. Caufriez
  • 31DRubén Iranzo
  • 35GVicent Abril
  • 38DIker Córdoba
  • 30FGermán Valera
Coach IconCarlos CorberanHead Coach
Real Madrid

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GT. Courtois
  • 17DLucas Vázquez
  • 14DA. Tchouaméni
  • 22DA. Rüdiger
  • 23DF. MendySubstitution68'
  • 19MDani CeballosSubstitution80'
  • 8MF. Valverde
  • 11MRodrygoSubstitution68'
  • 5MJ. BellinghamAssistSubstitution90'Goal
  • 7MVinícius Júnior
  • 9FK. Mbappé

SUBSTITUTES

  • 6ME. CamavingaSubstitution68'
  • 21MBrahim DíazSubstitution68'
  • 10ML. ModrićSubstitution80'Goal
  • 35DRaúl AsencioSubstitution90'
  • 18DJesús Vallejo
  • 26GFran González
  • 13GA. Lunin
  • 15MA. Güler
  • 16FEndrick
  • 20DFran García
Coach IconC. AncelottiHead Coach

Valencia vs Real Madrid - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Atletico Madrid 19 13 5 1 34 12 22 44
2 Real Madrid 19 13 4 2 43 19 24 43
3 Barcelona 19 12 2 5 51 22 29 38
4 Athletic Club 19 10 6 3 29 17 12 36
5 Villarreal 19 8 6 5 34 31 3 30
6 Mallorca 19 9 3 7 19 21 -2 30
7 Real Sociedad 19 8 4 7 17 13 4 28
8 Girona 19 8 4 7 27 25 2 28
9 Rayo Vallecano 19 6 7 6 22 22 0 25
10 Real Betis 19 6 7 6 21 23 -2 25
11 Osasuna 19 6 7 6 23 28 -5 25
12 Celta Vigo 19 7 3 9 28 30 -2 24
13 Sevilla 19 6 5 8 21 28 -7 23
14 Las Palmas 19 6 4 9 24 29 -5 22
15 Getafe 19 4 7 8 13 16 -3 19
16 Leganes 19 4 7 8 18 29 -11 19
17 Alaves 19 4 5 10 21 31 -10 17
18 Espanyol 19 4 4 11 17 31 -14 16
19 Valladolid 19 4 3 12 13 37 -24 15
20 Valencia 19 2 7 10 18 29 -11 13
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Valencia has won 2 times, while Real Madrid has secured 6 victories. 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 12 for Valencia and 21 for Real Madrid.

2
2
6
ValenciaDrawsReal Madrid
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
70%
7/10 Matches
Valencia Clean Sheets
10%
1/10 Matches
Real Madrid Clean Sheets
20%
2/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

03 Jan 2025La Liga
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
02 Mar 2024La Liga
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
11 Nov 2023La Liga
Real Madrid5 - 1Valencia
21 May 2023La Liga
Valencia1 - 0Real Madrid
02 Feb 2023La Liga
Real Madrid2 - 0Valencia
11 Jan 2023Super Cup
Real Madrid1 - 1Valencia
08 Jan 2022La Liga
Real Madrid4 - 1Valencia
19 Sep 2021La Liga
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
14 Feb 2021La Liga
Real Madrid2 - 0Valencia
08 Nov 2020La Liga
Valencia4 - 1Real Madrid

Last matches: Valencia 1.20

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 3 (30%)D 3 (30%)L 4 (40%)
Copa del Rey14/01/2025
Ourense CF
0 - 2
Valencia
La Liga11/01/2025
Sevilla
1 - 1
Valencia
Copa del Rey07/01/2025
Eldense
0 - 2
Valencia
La Liga03/01/2025
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
La Liga22/12/2024
Valencia
2 - 2
Alaves
La Liga18/12/2024
Espanyol
1 - 1
Valencia
La Liga13/12/2024
Valladolid
1 - 0
Valencia
La Liga07/12/2024
Valencia
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
Copa del Rey04/12/2024
Ejea
1 - 3
Valencia
La Liga29/11/2024
Mallorca
2 - 1
Valencia

Last matches: Real Madrid 2.50

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 8 (80%)D 1 (10%)L 1 (10%)
Copa del Rey16/01/2025
Real Madrid
5 - 2
Celta Vigo
Super Cup12/01/2025
Real Madrid
2 - 5
Barcelona
Super Cup09/01/2025
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Mallorca
Copa del Rey06/01/2025
Deportiva Minera
0 - 5
Real Madrid
La Liga03/01/2025
Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid
La Liga22/12/2024
Real Madrid
4 - 2
Sevilla
FIFA Intercontinental Cup18/12/2024
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Pachuca
La Liga14/12/2024
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 3
Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League10/12/2024
Atalanta
2 - 3
Real Madrid
La Liga07/12/2024
Girona
0 - 3
Real Madrid

Unknown Team vs Unknown Team - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

Unknown TeamGames: 18
Unknown TeamGames: 3

Matches

48%
Ball Possession
62%
404.78
Total passes
620.67
320.5
Passes accurate
556.33
78%
Passes %
90%
12.22
Fouls
9.67
2.28
Yellow Cards
1
0.06
Red Cards
0.33
5.22
Corner Kicks
6
2.06
Offsides
1.33

Attack

9.06
Total Shots
18.33
2.89
Shots on Goal
7.33
0.93
expected_goals
1.9
3.78
Shots off Goal
6
5.83
Shots insidebox
12.33
3.22
Shots outsidebox
6
2.39
Blocked Shots
5
1
Goals Scored
1.67

Defense

2.17
Goalkeeper Saves
1.67
1.56
Goals Conceded
0.67
-0.17
goals_prevented
-0.33
3
Clean Sheets
1
12.22
Fouls
9.67

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 14%
Draw 25%
Away 61%
Valencia Real Madrid
6% Clean Sheet 15%
85% Over 0.5 Goals 94%
37% Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Both Teams to Score 73%
Most Likely Scoreline 1-2
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.