Brighton vs Southampton prediction & betting tips – 29/11/2024

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Premier League - Regular Season - 13

29th Nov 24, 20:00
American Express Stadium

Brighton

DLDLD
1 : 1

HT: 1 - 0

Southampton

DLLLL
29' K. Mitoma (T. Lamptey)
59' F. Downes

Referee: Robert Jones, England

Who will win?

Brighton Brighton
0%
X
0%
Southampton Southampton
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

Match Facts

The upcoming match between Brighton and Southampton is set for November 29, 2024 at 8:00 PM. The venue for this encounter is American Express Stadium in Falmer, East Sussex, England. R. Jones has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Brighton is 55%. The probability of a draw between Brighton and Southampton is 29%. The probability of winning for Southampton is 15%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 73% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 27% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 45% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 55%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on May 21, 2023, where Brighton won against Southampton with a score of 3-1
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Brighton has emerged victorious 3 time(s), Southampton has claimed 0 win(s), and 2 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Brighton has averaged 2.2 goals per game, while Southampton has netted an average of 1.2 goals.
  • In the current Premier League standings, Brighton occupies the 5th spot, while Southampton sits in 20th place.
  • Brighton's performance in the Premier League this season shows 6 victories, 2 defeats, and 4 draws. They've maintained an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match.
  • Southampton has recorded 1 wins, 10 losses, and 1 draws in the Premier League this season. Their offensive output stands at 0.8 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 2 goals.
  • Examining Brighton's last five outings, they have won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per match and conceded 1.8 goals.
  • Southampton's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 2 times, lost 3 times and drawn 0 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Brighton is D. Welbeck, who has found the net 6 times this season.
  • Brighton will be without the services of: C. Baleba (Red Card), S. March (Knee Injury), J. Milner (Thigh Injury), M. O'Riley (Ankle Injury), L. Dunk (Calf Injury), J. Hinshelwood (Knee Injury), F. Kadioglu (Toe Injury), T. Lamptey (Calf Injury), A. Webster (Muscle Injury)
  • Southampton faces selection challenges with the following players unavailable: G. Bazunu (Achilles Tendon Injury), J. Bednarek (Knee Injury), A. Ramsdale (Finger Injury), W. Smallbone (Thigh Injury), R. Stewart (Thigh Injury), F. Downes (Knock)

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Brighton

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GB. Verbruggen
  • 2DT. LampteyAssistSubstitution72'
  • 29DJ. van Hecke
  • 3DIgor Julio
  • 30DP. Estupiñán
  • 14MG. RutterSubstitution88'
  • 33MM. O'RileySubstitution72'
  • 26MY. Ayari
  • 22MK. MitomaGoal
  • 18FD. WelbeckSubstitution79'
  • 9FJoão PedroSubstitution72'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 5DL. DunkSubstitution72'
  • 11FS. AdingraSubstitution72'
  • 27MM. WiefferSubstitution72'
  • 28FE. FergusonSubstitution79'
  • 17FY. MintehSubstitution88'
  • 10MJ. Enciso
  • 44DR. McConville
  • 53DJ. Slater
  • 23GJ. Steele
Coach IconF. HürzelerHead Coach
Southampton

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 13GJ. Lumley
  • 16DY. SugawaraSubstitution66'
  • 6DT. Harwood-Bellis
  • 5DJ. Stephens
  • 2DK. Walker-Peters
  • 3DR. Manning
  • 33MT. Dibling
  • 4MF. DownesGoalSubstitution66'
  • 18MMateus Fernandes
  • 9MA. ArmstrongSubstitution90'
  • 19FC. ArcherSubstitution88'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 24MR. FraserSubstitution66'
  • 7MJ. AriboSubstitution66'
  • 20MK. SulemanaSubstitution88'
  • 17FB. BreretonSubstitution90'
  • 12DR. Edwards
  • 27MS. Amo-Ameyaw
  • 1GA. McCarthy
  • 15DN. Wood-Gordon
  • 14DJ. Bree
Coach IconR. MartinHead Coach

Brighton vs Southampton - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 Liverpool 16 12 3 1 37 16 21 39
2 Chelsea 17 10 5 2 37 19 18 35
3 Arsenal 17 9 6 2 34 16 18 33
4 Nottingham Forest 17 9 4 4 23 19 4 31
5 Bournemouth 17 8 4 5 27 21 6 28
6 Aston Villa 17 8 4 5 26 26 0 28
7 Manchester City 17 8 3 6 29 25 4 27
8 Newcastle 17 7 5 5 27 21 6 26
9 Fulham 17 6 7 4 24 22 2 25
10 Brighton 17 6 7 4 27 26 1 25
11 Tottenham 17 7 2 8 39 25 14 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 32 32 0 23
13 Manchester United 17 6 4 7 21 22 -1 22
14 West Ham 17 5 5 7 22 30 -8 20
15 Everton 16 3 7 6 14 21 -7 16
16 Crystal Palace 17 3 7 7 18 26 -8 16
17 Leicester 17 3 5 9 21 37 -16 14
18 Wolves 17 3 3 11 27 40 -13 12
19 Ipswich 17 2 6 9 16 32 -16 12
20 Southampton 17 1 3 13 11 36 -25 6
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Head to head

These teams have met 10 times in recent seasons. Brighton has won 3 times, while Southampton has secured 3 victories. 4 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 14 for Brighton and 13 for Southampton.

3
4
3
BrightonDrawsSouthampton
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9/10 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5/10 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3/10 Matches
Both Teams Scored
80%
8/10 Matches
Brighton Clean Sheets
0%
0/10 Matches
Southampton Clean Sheets
20%
2/10 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

29 Nov 2024Premier League
Brighton1 - 1Southampton
21 May 2023Premier League
Brighton3 - 1Southampton
26 Dec 2022Premier League
Southampton1 - 3Brighton
24 Apr 2022Premier League
Brighton2 - 2Southampton
04 Dec 2021Premier League
Southampton1 - 1Brighton
14 Mar 2021Premier League
Southampton1 - 2Brighton
07 Dec 2020Premier League
Brighton1 - 2Southampton
16 Jul 2020Premier League
Southampton1 - 1Brighton
24 Aug 2019Premier League
Brighton0 - 2Southampton
30 Mar 2019Premier League
Brighton0 - 1Southampton

Last matches: Brighton 1.00

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 4 (40%)L 4 (40%)
Premier League21/12/2024
West Ham
1 - 1
Brighton
Premier League15/12/2024
Brighton
1 - 3
Crystal Palace
Premier League08/12/2024
Leicester
2 - 2
Brighton
Premier League05/12/2024
Fulham
3 - 1
Brighton
Premier League29/11/2024
Brighton
1 - 1
Southampton
Premier League23/11/2024
Bournemouth
1 - 2
Brighton
Premier League09/11/2024
Brighton
2 - 1
Manchester City
Premier League02/11/2024
Liverpool
2 - 1
Brighton
League Cup30/10/2024
Brighton
2 - 3
Liverpool
Premier League26/10/2024
Brighton
2 - 2
Wolves

Last matches: Southampton 0.80

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 2 (20%)L 6 (60%)
Premier League22/12/2024
Fulham
0 - 0
Southampton
League Cup18/12/2024
Southampton
1 - 2
Liverpool
Premier League15/12/2024
Southampton
0 - 5
Tottenham
Premier League07/12/2024
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton
Premier League04/12/2024
Southampton
1 - 5
Chelsea
Premier League29/11/2024
Brighton
1 - 1
Southampton
Premier League24/11/2024
Southampton
2 - 3
Liverpool
Premier League09/11/2024
Wolves
2 - 0
Southampton
Premier League02/11/2024
Southampton
1 - 0
Everton
League Cup29/10/2024
Southampton
3 - 2
Stoke City

Brighton vs Southampton - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

BrightonGames: 13
SouthamptonGames: 16

Matches

51%
Ball Possession
53%
464.46
Total passes
501.5
398
Passes accurate
440.69
86%
Passes %
87%
11.62
Fouls
11.63
2.08
Yellow Cards
3
0.08
Red Cards
0.19
4.62
Corner Kicks
4.63
1.15
Offsides
1.44

Attack

14
Total Shots
8.94
4.92
Shots on Goal
2.88
1.44
expected_goals
0.93
4.92
Shots off Goal
2.75
9.46
Shots insidebox
6.5
4.54
Shots outsidebox
2.44
4.15
Blocked Shots
3.31
1.08
Goals Scored
0.63

Defense

3.23
Goalkeeper Saves
4.25
0.69
Goals Conceded
2.06
0
goals_prevented
0.06
2
Clean Sheets
2
11.62
Fouls
11.63

Predictions

Match Outcome Prediction

Home 45%
Draw 40%
Away 15%
Brighton Southampton
14% Clean Sheet 9%
91% Over 0.5 Goals 86%
59% Over 1.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams to Score 74%
Most Likely Scoreline 2-1
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.