Italy vs Belgium Prediction

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UEFA Nations League - League A - 3

10th Oct 24, 18:45
Stadio Olimpico

Italy

WWDWW
2 : 2

HT: 2 - 1

Belgium

LLDLW
1' A. Cambiaso
24' M. Retegui
42' M. De Cuyper (L. Trossard)
61' L. Trossard

Referee: Espen Eskas, Norway

Who will win?

Italy Italy
0%
X
0%
Belgium Belgium
0%

This game has finished. Voting is closed.

0 Votes

What is the prediction for the football match between Italy and Belgium?

Our prediction for the Italy vs Belgium match is: Italy to win.

Our advanced algorithm estimates a probability of 50% for a win of Italy against Belgium

The probability for a draw between Italy vs Belgium is 50%

Our prediction model gives a 0% chance for a win of Belgium vs Italy

Match Preview

The upcoming match between Italy and Belgium is set for October 10, 2024 at 6:45 PM. The venue for this encounter is Stadio Olimpico in Roma, World. Espen Eskas, Norway has been appointed as the referee for this match.

  • The probability of winning for Italy is 67%. The probability of a draw between Italy and Belgium is 20%. The probability of winning for Belgium is 13%.
  • Our calculations suggest a 72% chance that both teams will find the back of the net, with a 28% possibility that at least one side will keep a clean sheet.
  • There's a 82% likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this encounter, while the odds of a lower-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) stand at 18%.
  • The most recent encounter between these two sides took place on October 10, 2024, where Italy and Belgium drew with a score of 2-2
  • Looking at the last five head-to-head encounters, Italy has emerged victorious 3 time(s), Belgium has claimed 0 win(s), and 1 match(es) ended in a stalemate. Italy has averaged 1.6 goals per game, while Belgium has netted an average of 0.8 goals.
  • Italy's performance in the UEFA Nations League this season shows 3 victories, 0 defeats, and 1 draws. They've maintained an average of 2.8 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match.
  • Belgium has recorded 1 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draws in the UEFA Nations League this season. Their offensive output stands at 1.5 goals per game, while defensively they've allowed an average of 1.8 goals.
  • Examining Italy's last five outings, they have won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.
  • Belgium's form over their previous five matches shows they have won 1 times, lost 3 times and drawn 1 times. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.
  • Leading the goal-scoring charts for Italy is D. Frattesi, who has found the net 3 times this season.

Odds data not available.

Lineups

Italy

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GG. Donnarumma
  • 22DG. Di Lorenzo
  • 21DA. Bastoni
  • 5DR. Calafiori
  • 20MA. CambiasoGoal
  • 16MD. FrattesiSubstitution90'
  • 6MS. RicciSubstitution70'
  • 8MS. TonaliSubstitution80'
  • 3MF. DimarcoSubstitution70'
  • 10FL. Pellegrini
  • 9FM. ReteguiGoalSubstitution80'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 7MN. FagioliSubstitution70'
  • 19DD. UdogieSubstitution70'
  • 18FG. RaspadoriSubstitution80'
  • 23MN. PisilliSubstitution80'
  • 2DR. BellanovaSubstitution90'
  • 14DM. Gabbia
  • 15DC. Okoli
  • 11FD. Maldini
  • 13GG. Vicario
  • 17FL. Lucca
  • 4DA. Buongiorno
  • 12GM. Di Gregorio
Coach IconL. SpallettiHead Coach
Belgium

STARTING LINEUPS

  • 1GK. Casteels
  • 2DZ. Debast
  • 4DW. Faes
  • 3DA. TheateSubstitution69'
  • 5DM. De CuyperGoal
  • 8MY. Tielemans
  • 18MO. MangalaSubstitution68'
  • 7MJ. DokuSubstitution87'
  • 17MC. De KetelaereSubstitution68'
  • 10ML. TrossardAssistGoal
  • 9FL. OpendaSubstitution87'

SUBSTITUTES

  • 21DT. CastagneSubstitution68'
  • 11FD. LukébakioSubstitution68'
  • 6MA. VranckxSubstitution69'
  • 22FC. NgongeSubstitution87'
  • 14FM. FofanaSubstitution87'
  • 23DM. Smets
  • 19FJ. Bakayoko
  • 13GO. De Wolf
  • 16DK. De Winter
  • 20MA. Engels
  • 12GM. Vandevoordt
  • 15DS. Bornauw
Coach IconD. TedescoHead Coach

Italy vs Belgium - Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA +/- PTS
1 France 6 4 1 1 12 6 6 13
2 Italy 6 4 1 1 13 8 5 13
3 Belgium 6 1 1 4 6 9 -3 4
4 Israel 6 1 1 4 5 13 -8 4

Head to head

These teams have met 5 times in recent seasons. Italy has won 4 times, while Belgium has secured 0 victories. 1 matches ended in a draw. The goal tally stands at 9 for Italy and 4 for Belgium.

4
1
0
ItalyDrawsBelgium
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
4/5 Matches
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
3/5 Matches
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
1/5 Matches
Both Teams Scored
60%
3/5 Matches
Italy Clean Sheets
40%
2/5 Matches
Belgium Clean Sheets
0%
0/5 Matches

Past H2H Results & Fixtures

14 Nov 2024UEFA Nations League
Belgium0 - 1Italy
10 Oct 2024UEFA Nations League
Italy2 - 2Belgium
10 Oct 2021UEFA Nations League
Italy2 - 1Belgium
02 Jul 2021Euro Championship
Belgium1 - 2Italy
13 Jun 2016Euro Championship
Belgium0 - 2Italy

Last matches: Italy 1.70

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 5 (50%)D 2 (20%)L 3 (30%)
UEFA Nations League17/11/2024
Italy
1 - 3
France
UEFA Nations League14/11/2024
Belgium
0 - 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League14/10/2024
Italy
4 - 1
Israel
UEFA Nations League10/10/2024
Italy
2 - 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League09/09/2024
Israel
1 - 2
Italy
UEFA Nations League06/09/2024
France
1 - 3
Italy
Euro Championship29/06/2024
Switzerland
2 - 0
Italy
Euro Championship24/06/2024
Croatia
1 - 1
Italy
Euro Championship20/06/2024
Spain
1 - 0
Italy
Euro Championship15/06/2024
Italy
2 - 1
Albania

Last matches: Belgium 0.80

Statistics are for the last 10 games

W 2 (20%)D 2 (20%)L 6 (60%)
UEFA Nations League17/11/2024
Israel
1 - 0
Belgium
UEFA Nations League14/11/2024
Belgium
0 - 1
Italy
UEFA Nations League14/10/2024
Belgium
1 - 2
France
UEFA Nations League10/10/2024
Italy
2 - 2
Belgium
UEFA Nations League09/09/2024
France
2 - 0
Belgium
UEFA Nations League06/09/2024
Belgium
3 - 1
Israel
Euro Championship01/07/2024
France
1 - 0
Belgium
Euro Championship26/06/2024
Ukraine
0 - 0
Belgium
Euro Championship22/06/2024
Belgium
2 - 0
Romania
Euro Championship17/06/2024
Belgium
0 - 1
Slovakia

Italy vs Belgium - Per Match Stats

This section shows the average per-match statistics for both teams in the current season of this league.

ItalyGames: 6
BelgiumGames: 6

Matches

53%
Ball Possession
57%
520.67
Total passes
523.67
459.5
Passes accurate
459.83
88%
Passes %
88%
11.67
Fouls
10.33
1.33
Yellow Cards
2.17
0.17
Red Cards
0
3.67
Corner Kicks
7.83
1.33
Offsides
2.17

Attack

11.5
Total Shots
14.83
5.17
Shots on Goal
5
0
expected_goals
0
4.33
Shots off Goal
6
8.5
Shots insidebox
9.17
3
Shots outsidebox
5.67
2
Blocked Shots
3.83
2.17
Goals Scored
1

Defense

1.83
Goalkeeper Saves
3
1.33
Goals Conceded
1.5
0
goals_prevented
0
1
Clean Sheets
0
11.67
Fouls
10.33

Italy vs Belgium Predictions

Main Prediction
Double chance : Italy or draw
Winner
Italy
Italy Goals
-3.5
Belgium Goals
-2.5
Paul Harrison
Paul Harrison

Paul Harrison is a veteran football analyst with over 25 years of experience in the betting industry. His expert commentary and sharp insights make him a trusted figure, guiding bettors with in-depth knowledge of the game.